Raw Sugar Update

The October No.11 contract opened at 16.14 and initially drifted lower to 15.97, marking the session’s low during early trading. This dip was short-lived, as the market gained momentum through mid-morning, with buying interest, possibly speculative or commercial in nature, pushing prices steadily higher. The contract peaked at 16.27 in early afternoon trade, reflecting improved sentiment or short covering. However, resistance at the highs triggered selling pressure in the latter half of the session, driving prices back down. Despite brief support attempts near 16.10, the market continued to fade into the close, settling at 16.03, a few points below the open. The failure to hold gains suggests a lack of conviction at higher levels and may indicate further consolidation unless fresh drivers emerge.

Raw Sugar No.11 (SB) – ICE Futures US Softs
Month Open High Low Sett Chg Last Vol O/I
Oct’25 16.14 16.27 15.97 16.01            –   16.03 43,437 386,162
Mar’26 16.72 16.91 16.63 16.68 0.02 16.70 20,119 233,549
May’26 16.46 16.64 16.38 16.43 0.02 16.45 8,627 96,247
Jul’26 16.38 16.56 16.31 16.36 0.02 16.38 4,218 68,755
Oct’26 16.64 16.79 16.58 16.60 0.01 16.62 1,574 44,079
Mar’27 17.21 17.28 17.10 17.12            –   17.14 557 24,634
May’27 16.92 16.96 16.80 16.82            –   16.83 409 12,486
Jul’27 16.81 16.86 16.71 16.71 -0.01 16.73 626 12,004
Oct’27 16.94 16.94 16.82 16.85            –   16.86 414 9,015
Mar’28 17.24 17.32 17.20 17.23 0.01 17.20 53 1,837
May’28 16.89 16.89 16.89 16.92 0.02 16.89 9 707
                 
Total             80,043 889,475

White Sugar Update

The session opened at 462.90 and briefly dipped to 461.00 during the early morning, marking the day’s low. From there, the market staged a strong rally, climbing steadily throughout the late morning and early afternoon to reach the session high of 471.40. This upside moves likely reflected short covering or a reaction to strength in broader commodities. However, the gains proved unsustainable. Selling emerged near the highs and persisted through the afternoon, with the market retracing nearly the entire rally. Despite a modest recovery effort into the close, prices ultimately settled at 462.10, almost unchanged on the day and just below the open. The sharp reversal from intraday highs may suggest waning bullish momentum and a lack of follow-through buying interest.

White Sugar No.5 (QW) – ICE Futures Europe Commodities
Month Open High Low Sett Chg Last Vol O/I
Oct’25 462.90 471.40 460.90 462.50 0.40 462.90 8,671 55,947
Dec’25 457.60 463.00 455.00 456.40 0.20 457.00 4,276 34,771
Mar’26 460.00 465.90 458.70 461.30 1.30 461.80 2,082 18,823
May’26 461.40 467.00 460.80 463.10 1.10 463.00 544 6,490
Aug’26 462.40 467.60 462.00 464.40 1.20 465.30 181 4,945
Oct’26 464.80 469.40 464.80 467.10 1.40 466.80 107 2,767
Dec’26 469.30 473.10 469.30 471.50 1.30 473.10 34 1,914
Mar’27 476.00 478.40 476.00 477.00 1.10 478.40 6 773
May’27          –              –              –   479.10 1.40 477.60            –   205
Aug’27          –              –              –   480.30 1.90 479.60            –   238
Oct’27 478.80 478.80 478.80 480.70 1.90 478.80 1 130
Dec’27          –              –              –   480.90 1.90            –   12
Mar’28          –              –              –   481.00 1.90            –                –  
May’28          –              –              –   481.00 1.90            –                –  
Total             15,902 127,015
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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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