ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Jul26 13.92 -0.16 14.08 14.10 13.86 13.91 142,005 248,067 20.72 13.34
Oct26 14.39 -0.13 14.54 14.54 14.30 14.39 138,657 386,776 20.67 13.70
Mar27 15.25 -0.17 15.40 15.43 15.20 15.25 32,601 202,556 19.14 14.42
May27 15.04 -0.20 15.31 15.31 15.04 15.04 10,905 56,881 17.99 14.29
Jul27 15.07 -0.20 15.34 15.34 15.05 15.07 6,520 61,504 17.76 14.27
Oct27 15.37 -0.21 15.54 15.57 15.36 15.37 1,713 23,036 17.64 14.45
Mar28 16.03 -0.21 16.19 16.22 16.03 16.03 366 13,141 17.83 14.97
May28 15.77 -0.21 15.92 15.95 15.78 15.78 318 6,875 17.53 14.82
Jul28 15.72 -0.21 15.86 15.86 15.75 15.76 361 6,210 17.06 14.74
Oct28 15.90 -0.21 16.03 16.03 15.94 15.98 121 4,725 16.97 15.01
Mar29 16.44 -0.22 16.55 16.55 16.55 16.55 1 121 17.08 16.35
May29 16.22  
Total               333,568 1,009,892    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Jul26 / Oct26 -0.47 May27 / Jul27 -0.03
Jul26 / Mar27 -1.33 May27 / Oct27 -0.33
Jul26 / May27 -1.12 Jul27 / Oct27 -0.30
Jul26 / Jul27 -1.15 Jul27 / Mar28 -0.96
Oct26 / Mar27 -0.86 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.66
Oct26 / May27 -0.65 Oct27 / May28 -0.40
Mar27 / May27 0.21 Mar28 / May28 0.26
Mar27 / Jul27 0.18 Mar28 / Jul28 0.31

 

Recent pressure has taken its toll and unlike other sessions there was no sign of any supportive interest during early trading as instead the market turned to explore support in the region of yesterday’s 13.97 low. Less than 30 minutes had elapsed when this level was broken and so the specs took the opportunity to place continuing pressure upon that market which extended through the morning. With steady buying around the movement was slow, however the sport had moved down to 13.86 by late morning to match the mark from 28th May and show some vulnerability ahead of the US morning. Short covering removed some of the pressure and took the price back to 14.00, and while there was no meaningful recovery this discouraged any aggressive spec/fund interest and ensured that the market remained away from the lows moving through the afternoon. Around 70% of total volume was again being generated by the Jul/Oct’26 roll, though with some interest as to whether the lows (and short-term double bottom) could break there was at least reason to focus upon the outright. In the end Jul’26 did not trade below 13.91 and so the chart point held, spending the later part of the day in the 1400 area before being placed under renewed pressure on the close. This ensured a weaker finish at 13.92, likely engineered by the spec shorts as they look to maintain pressure and test chart support at 13.86 tomorrow.

 
ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Aug26 443.90 -1.10 444.10 445.40 438.00 443.80 8,159 55,943 519.20 392.30
Oct26 437.70 -1.60 438.00 439.10 432.60 437.50 6,000 41,071 514.40 391.10
Dec26 435.10 -2.70 436.60 436.80 431.50 435.00 2,480 22,078 514.40 393.20
Mar27 438.70 -2.70 440.20 440.30 435.80 438.50 1,665 17,441 511.80 398.00
May27 440.80 -2.50 440.20 442.30 437.90 440.50 455 4,538 495.00 401.40
Aug27 440.10 -2.60 439.20 440.80 437.50 439.70 152 3,393 491.50 404.30
Oct27 440.30 -2.70 439.70 439.70 437.80 437.80 37 1,647 491.00 408.20
Dec27 443.70 -2.60 443.10 445.20 441.30 443.00 41 1,168 492.80 414.30
Mar28 449.30 -2.50 448.80 450.40 447.10 448.20 29 626 480.50 421.00
May28 451.70 -2.70 451.70 452.60 450.40 450.50 44 511 482.40 426.30
Aug28 451.40 -3.30 451.60 451.70 451.60 451.70 2 157 481.30 431.10
Oct28 452.40 10.10 441.70 441.70 441.70 441.70 1 9 443.50 441.70
Dec28 454.70  
Mar29 457.70  
Total               19,065 148,582    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Aug26 / Oct26 6.20 Oct26 / Dec26 2.60
Aug26 / Dec26 8.80 Dec26 / Mar27 -3.60
Aug26 / Mar27 5.20 Mar27 / May27 -2.10
Aug26 / May27 3.10 May27 / Aug27 0.70

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
Jul26 / Aug26 137.02 Mar28 / Mar28 95.90
Oct26 / Oct26 120.46 May28 / May28 104.03
Mar27 / Mar27 102.50 Jul28 / Aug28 104.83
May27 / May27 109.23 Oct28 / Oct28 101.87
Jul27 / Aug27 107.86 Mar29 / Mar29 95.26
Oct27 / Oct27 101.45    
*Values calculated basis 6:07 PM.

 

White sugar values slipped on the opening as they followed the trend being set by No.11, and with limited buying in place above $440.00 the fall gathered some momentum. By the middle of the morning Aug’26 was testing yesterdays $439.60 low, and this soon broke with traders extending the current narrow range down to $438.00. The pressure caused some movement for the white premium and Aug/Jul’26 slipped beneath $132.00 at one stage, though by noon some recovery was being experienced against position covering. Volumes remained light and this enabled values to hold within the range across the next few hours, increasingly moving further from the lows and showing signs of wanting to hold and escape the pressure being applied elsewhere. This provided the encouragement for some consumer and spec buyers to step up interest later in the day and send the market moving ahead to fresh daily highs, with Aug’26 briefly nudging to positive ground at $445.40 and in so doing extending the premium value to $136.00. The market remained a small way short of the highs through the final hour and reached a close at $443.90, in doing so extending the Aug/Jul’26 white premium to a closing value at $137.00.

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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