ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Oct26 16.73 0.26 16.50 16.75 16.33 16.74 146,477 507,630 20.67 13.70
Mar27 17.71 0.27 17.46 17.73 17.31 17.71 95,047 317,463 19.14 14.42
May27 17.39 0.22 17.17 17.41 17.06 17.39 42,205 104,563 17.99 14.29
Jul27 17.19 0.18 17.00 17.23 16.91 17.19 28,031 83,837 17.76 14.27
Oct27 17.35 0.15 17.15 17.40 17.11 17.34 16,070 46,603 17.64 14.45
Mar28 17.83 0.11 17.72 17.91 17.65 17.83 6,435 21,541 17.91 14.97
May28 17.22 0.03 17.19 17.35 17.15 17.23 2,649 9,641 17.53 14.82
Jul28 16.93 -0.03 16.90 17.11 16.90 16.94 2,382 8,819 17.11 14.74
Oct28 17.04 -0.05 17.05 17.18 17.01 17.06 1,462 8,062 17.18 15.01
Mar29 17.51 -0.08 17.54 17.68 17.49 17.52 424 832 17.68 16.20
May29 17.10 -0.10 17.28 17.28 17.24 17.26 56 221 17.28 16.02
Jul29 16.95 -0.10 17.12 17.12 17.12 17.12 52 262 17.13 17.05
Total               341,290 1,109,474    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Oct26 / Mar27 -0.98 Jul27 / Oct27 -0.16
Oct26 / May27 -0.66 Jul27 / Mar28 -0.64
Oct26 / Jul27 -0.46 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.48
Oct26 / Oct27 -0.62 Oct27 / May28 0.13
Mar27 / May27 0.32 Mar28 / May28 0.61
Mar27 / Jul27 0.52 Mar28 / Jul28 0.90
May27 / Jul27 0.20 May28 / Jul28 0.29
May27 / Oct27 0.04 May28 / Oct28 0.18

 

The market has been on a one-way track for the past one and a half weeks and todays opening showed no signs of changing that pattern with prices sitting steadily in the 16.40’s. There was a brief blip that saw the price drop back to 16.33, but aside from that the price action was positive and before too long we were probing into the 16.50’s. Scale selling continues unabated from growers, but while the same can be said for the spec buying there is no sign that the market is ready to stop its progression. By late morning we were trading back into yesterdays highs and the chart double top, and into the afternoon persistence from the specs achieved its reward with a move to yet more new highs ay 16.72. This was followed by the usual array of small trader profit taking and the market moved back into the range, however the picture was remaining solid as longs supported the price in the lower 16.60’s through the later part of the day. This ensured that it was well placed for another aggressive long push into the close and some sizable buying ensured that another new high was recorded at 16.75, in the process establishing another strong close for the chart with settlement made at 16.73. 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Oct26 511.30 5.20 505.00 512.00 504.00 511.90 11,247 78,924 514.40 391.10
Dec26 510.00 3.90 504.30 511.00 504.30 509.90 8,409 48,592 514.40 393.20
Mar27 511.00 2.30 507.40 513.00 507.00 510.70 6,527 29,826 513.00 398.00
May27 509.60 1.30 507.40 511.50 505.70 509.60 2,644 14,546 511.50 401.40
Aug27 500.00 -2.00 501.60 503.40 495.30 499.90 2,395 6,012 503.40 404.30
Oct27 493.00 -4.50 497.20 498.70 488.00 492.20 1,497 2,514 498.70 408.20
Dec27 491.90 -4.90 494.80 495.90 488.50 492.20 350 1,402 497.20 414.30
Mar28 492.40 -5.30 496.60 496.60 490.70 490.80 70 762 497.70 421.00
May28 488.20 -5.70 493.00 493.00 487.00 488.40 32 706 493.60 426.30
Aug28 479.00 -6.70 482.80 483.30 478.90 478.90 8 547 483.30 431.10
Oct28 474.00 6.50 466.80 466.80 466.80 466.80 1 18 466.80 441.70
Dec28 476.00 6.40 468.60 469.20 468.60 468.60 4 5 469.20 468.60
Mar29 481.00  
May29 481.60  
Total               33,184 183,854    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Oct26 / Dec26 1.30 Dec26 / Mar27 -1.00
Oct26 / Mar27 0.30 Mar27 / May27 1.40
Oct26 / May27 1.70 May27 / Aug27 9.60
Oct26 / Aug27 11.30 Aug27 / Oct27 7.00

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
Oct26 / Oct26 142.47 May28 / May28 108.56
Mar27 / Mar27 120.56 Jul28 / Aug28 105.76
May27 / May27 126.22 Oct28 / Oct28 98.33
Jul27 / Aug27 121.03 Mar29 / Mar29 94.97
Oct27 / Oct27 110.50 May29 / May29 104.61
Mar28 / Mar28 99.32    
*Values calculated basis 6:21 PM.

 

Though the rate of increase slowed yesterday we are continuing to see the market move to higher levels and following a composed start to the session that trend looked to maintain. Across a couple of buying waves through the morning Oct’26 moved ahead to $512.00, another new mark with which to continue the recent ascent. While the market may not yet have topped there is an increased willingness to lock in profits as the price begins to edge back, and this sent the market slipping down into the range at a similar steady pace before gathering back up. Into the afternoon the market maintained its solid demeanour but without finding the necessary level of buying to further trouble the highs, and instead we saw some considered consolidation take place. This ensured that another steady gain was maintained though the failure to keep pace with No.11 meant that white premiums were softer by late afternoon with Oct/Oct’26 in the $141.50 area. Having approached the final stages quietly some stronger buying was unleashed to ensure that another strong settlement was posted, Oct’26 ending the day valued at $511.30 while being pushed back up to the earlier highs.

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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