ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Jul26 13.79 -0.13 13.91 14.02 13.77 13.81 118,722 207,429 20.72 13.34
Oct26 14.34 -0.05 14.38 14.50 14.27 14.37 133,156 416,479 20.67 13.70
Mar27 15.21 -0.04 15.25 15.36 15.15 15.23 32,090 204,505 19.14 14.42
May27 15.01 -0.03 15.04 15.16 14.94 15.03 13,506 60,014 17.99 14.29
Jul27 15.05 -0.02 15.07 15.19 14.99 15.07 4,429 61,075 17.76 14.27
Oct27 15.36 -0.01 15.35 15.50 15.30 15.39 1,180 23,541 17.64 14.45
Mar28 16.03 0.00   16.00 16.16 15.96 16.06 689 13,311 17.83 14.97
May28 15.77 0.00   15.74 15.90 15.72 15.80 339 7,001 17.53 14.82
Jul28 15.71 -0.01 15.70 15.73 15.68 15.70 163 6,386 17.06 14.74
Oct28 15.90 0.00   15.86 15.89 15.85 15.89 16 4,769 16.97 15.01
Mar29 16.44 -0.22 16.55 16.55 16.55 16.55 1 121 17.08 16.35
May29 16.16  
Total               304,291 1,004,631    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Jul26 / Oct26 -0.55 May27 / Jul27 -0.04
Jul26 / Mar27 -1.42 May27 / Oct27 -0.35
Jul26 / May27 -1.22 Jul27 / Oct27 -0.31
Jul26 / Jul27 -1.26 Jul27 / Mar28 -0.98
Oct26 / Mar27 -0.87 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.67
Oct26 / May27 -0.67 Oct27 / May28 -0.41
Mar27 / May27 0.20 Mar28 / May28 0.26
Mar27 / Jul27 0.16 Mar28 / Jul28 0.32

 

There was a look back towards 14.00 during the first hour of trading as some defensive interest emerged in the fact of some chart vulnerability, however it failed to gather any interest and soon the usual array of smaller traders were pressuring the recent 13.86 low. That level was broken quickly but with no sell stops present many sellers quickly looked to reverse positions with prices remaining predominantly in the 13.90’s for the rest of the morning. Fresh pressure was applied during the early afternoon which set the market back into lower ground, but while the market made another new low of 13.80 it seemed that scale buying would protect against wholesale losses. The final day of the index roll meanwhile brought some new weakness for the spread, with the value falling out of its recent narrow band and reaching -0.55 points as the selling met with reduced buying from the trade. Jul’26 struggled to escape from the 13.80’s during the afternoon, and while new lows were seen at 13.77 it was a fleeting push into the scale buying amidst dull trading. MOC pressure placed Jul’26 back in front of the lows, and a settlement price at 13.79 keeps the focus on the downside with plenty of scope ahead of the 13.39 April low and 13.34 contract low. 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Aug26 446.30 2.40 444.50 453.80 443.30 446.30 13,851 56,314 519.20 392.30
Oct26 440.90 3.20 437.80 446.20 437.20 441.20 12,200 41,611 514.40 391.10
Dec26 438.10 3.00 436.00 441.20 434.70 438.60 5,576 22,371 514.40 393.20
Mar27 441.60 2.90 439.50 444.30 438.10 442.30 2,700 17,674 511.80 398.00
May27 443.50 2.70 440.70 445.70 440.10 444.10 1,340 4,699 495.00 401.40
Aug27 442.60 2.50 441.30 444.40 439.70 443.00 113 3,516 491.50 404.30
Oct27 442.20 1.90 441.40 444.20 439.80 442.50 50 1,670 491.00 408.20
Dec27 445.00 1.30 444.50 446.70 442.90 444.90 52 1,183 492.80 414.30
Mar28 449.90 0.60 449.60 451.80 448.00 449.60 39 626 480.50 421.00
May28 451.80 0.10 451.50 453.20 449.80 451.00 78 527 482.40 426.30
Aug28 451.50 0.10 450.80 450.80 450.80 450.80 1 157 481.30 431.10
Oct28 452.50 10.20 441.70 441.70 441.70 441.70 1 9 443.50 441.70
Dec28 454.80  
Mar29 457.80  
Total               36,001 150,357    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Aug26 / Oct26 5.40 Oct26 / Dec26 2.80
Aug26 / Dec26 8.20 Dec26 / Mar27 -3.50
Aug26 / Mar27 4.70 Mar27 / May27 -1.90
Aug26 / May27 2.80 May27 / Aug27 0.90

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
Jul26 / Aug26 142.28 Mar28 / Mar28 96.50
Oct26 / Oct26 124.76 May28 / May28 104.13
Mar27 / Mar27 106.28 Jul28 / Aug28 105.15
May27 / May27 112.59 Oct28 / Oct28 101.97
Jul27 / Aug27 110.80 Mar29 / Mar29 95.36
Oct27 / Oct27 103.57    
*Values calculated basis 6:07 PM.

 

There was early buying present which lifted Aug’26 up to $448.80, a solid beginning to the day for white sugar as it looked to maintain yesterday’s recovery and get back to a more positive footing. The initial surge higher soon faded, but it was not long before the buyers returned with their efforts sending Aug’26 through $450.00 by the middle of the morning. With faster moving specs fully invested the gains extended to $453.80, however there followed a sharp turnaround as soon as some better selling emerged, capping the market in the same area that upside efforts have failed in recent weeks. While the gains were in play there was a remarkable uptick for the white premiums with highs seen for Aug/Jul’26 at $145.00 and Oct/Oct’26 at $126.00, a result of the stagnant raws prices as traders continue to sense opportunity from current restricted refining ability. The correction was as rapid as the rally had been and erased most of the gain, with the afternoon then seeing rather more considered activity. Session lows were registered at $443.30 before prices again picked up, though without the same level of interest as this morning values were only modestly higher ahead of the close. Aug’26 reached settlement at $446.30 to conclude another session within the familiar broad range, with Aug/Jul’26 away from its highs yet still very firm at $142.30.

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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