Raw Sugar Update 

There was buying around for the opening which popped May’26 up to 14.52, however the interest was brief and soon afterwards there was a retreat to 14.34. Interest was far lower than recent days in line with a calmer macro picture, and while there remains much potential for additional volatility this pause will be welcomed by some as a chance to reassess following the events of the past week and a half. The rest of the morning saw some small trader interest but little else with the only widening of the early range being a dip to 14.30, and the arrival of US specs could not enthuse the situation with the market continuing sideways for a while longer. Despite mild gains for the energy sector there was no fresh buying interest appearing and so mid afternoon saw specs bring some moderate selling back to the market and knock May’26 down to 14.18. The push had an impact on spreads with May/Jul’26 slipping further to -0.17 points, though price then turned around having held just a single point above yesterdays low mark. May’26 remained away from the lows through a calm final hour, eventually reaching settlement at 14.25 to bring the curtain down on a calmer session.

Raw Sugar No.11 (SB) – ICE Futures US Softs
Month Open High Low Sett Chg Last Vol O/I
May’26 14.37 14.53 14.18 14.25 -0.13 14.22 74,071 455,161
Jul’26 14.50 14.64 14.34 14.41 -0.10 14.37 52,200 213,872
Oct’26 14.91 15.02 14.72 14.81 -0.08 14.77 24,023 154,820
Mar’27 15.52 15.70 15.40 15.51 -0.06 15.47 6,840 127,948
May’27 15.34 15.51 15.23 15.32 -0.07 15.27 2,989 32,637
Jul’27 15.51 15.51 15.25 15.35 -0.06 15.31 1,413 21,470
Oct’27 15.65 15.80 15.60 15.64 -0.06 15.64 221 14,885
Mar’28 16.32 16.32 16.23 16.26 -0.06 16.25 112 6,256
May’28 16.15 16.15 16.07 16.09 -0.05 16.07 137 3,309
Jul’28          –              –              –   16.07 -0.04 16.12 120 3,773
Oct’28          –              –              –   16.28 -0.04 16.34 1 1,761
                 
Total             162,127 1,035,892

White Sugar Update

A higher opening was soon erased, however the early part of the day generally played out a small distance above last hights values with underlying consumer buying interest providing sufficient support in a lower volume environment. This pattern maintained for several hours with the market remaining above $417.90 through into the early afternoon, only then did some fresh selling materialise to end the stalemate and break prices into fresh ground. Scale pricing orders were filled in as May’26 worked down into fresh daily ground with the trend continuing throughout the remainder of the session to return values back to the heart of this month’s range. May/Aug’26 saw a steady volume with its value levelling out somewhat in the $-5.00 area following recent turbulence, though other spreads were quiet sparsely traded. White premiums meanwhile softened by a dollar or two over the course of the day, ending near to their lows when the late whites selling was not replicated through No.11, May/May’26 valued at $99.50 and Aug/Jul’26 at $101.00. Session lows were recorded on the post close following a May’26 settlement at $413.60, with the market now calmer again pending any further geopolitical / macro input. 

White Sugar No.5 (QW) – ICE Futures Europe Commodities
Month Open High Low Sett Chg Last Vol O/I
May’26 421.40 422.00 412.70 413.60 -4.80 412.80 10,120 68,304
Aug’26 425.50 425.90 417.80 418.70 -4.50 418.00 7,046 41,561
Oct’26 427.10 427.40 420.30 421.40 -3.60 420.70 3,697 17,525
Dec’26 428.70 429.50 422.30 423.30 -3.90 422.60 1,301 8,408
Mar’27 433.70 433.70 426.50 427.90 -3.20 427.00 486 8,476
May’27 433.10 433.10 428.00 429.40 -2.30 428.50 167 2,910
Aug’27 430.80 430.80 428.40 430.20 -1.70 429.50 64 2,495
Oct’27          –              –              –   432.70 -1.60 431.40 36 1,197
Dec’27          –              –              –   438.30 -1.60 437.00 32 706
Mar’28          –              –              –   444.70 -1.80 443.60 4 530
May’28          –              –              –   449.70 -2.00 449.90            –   406
Aug’28          –              –              –   453.70 -2.20            –   147
Oct’28          –              –              –   457.10 -2.30            –   9
Dec’28          –              –              –   460.30 -2.30            –                 –  
Total             22,953 152,674
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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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