ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Oct26 18.15 -0.58 ▼ 18.75 18.84 17.93 18.15 168,040 285,048 20.67 13.70
Mar27 19.13 -0.62 ▼ 19.80 19.86 18.99 19.15 180,446 549,114 19.90 14.42
May27 18.54 -0.51 ▼ 19.11 19.17 18.45 18.57 41,484 184,690 19.19 14.29
Jul27 18.18 -0.44 ▼ 18.65 18.73 18.10 18.21 25,662 121,300 18.76 14.27
Oct27 18.21 -0.36 ▼ 18.63 18.67 18.08 18.22 14,767 67,944 18.70 14.45
Mar28 18.54 -0.30 ▼ 18.94 18.94 18.37 18.55 4,987 41,016 18.97 14.97
May28 17.80 -0.26 ▼ 18.04 18.11 17.63 17.82 1,994 13,855 18.18 14.82
Jul28 17.41 -0.22 ▼ 17.60 17.61 17.23 17.41 1,644 12,801 17.74 14.74
Oct28 17.41 -0.19 ▼ 17.59 17.59 17.23 17.41 1,068 9,916 17.67 15.01
Mar29 17.77 -0.15 ▼ 17.92 17.92 17.58 17.69 640 1,695 17.94 16.20
May29 17.27 0.01 ▲ 17.38 17.38 17.38 17.38 9 327 17.38 16.02
Jul29 17.04 0.24 ▲ 16.80 16.80 16.80 16.80 1 732 17.13 16.23
Total               440,742 1,288,438    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Oct26 / Mar27 -0.98 Jul27 / Oct27 -0.03
Oct26 / May27 -0.39 Jul27 / Mar28 -0.36
Oct26 / Jul27 -0.03 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.33
Oct26 / Oct27 -0.06 Oct27 / May28 0.41
Mar27 / May27 0.59 Mar28 / May28 0.74
Mar27 / Jul27 0.95 Mar28 / Jul28 1.13
May27 / Jul27 0.36 May28 / Jul28 0.39
May27 / Oct27 0.33 May28 / Oct28 0.39

 

Despite pushing to 18.84 on the opening, it proved to be a disappointing start to trading for the market as Oct’26 quickly slipped back to the 18.50 area. Yesterday’s performance had afforded the possibility of upside continuation, particularly as macro factors have been driving money into the wider commodity sector, however as the morning panned out wither side of 18.50 there was no sign of much fund / spec involvement. Moving into the afternoon all remained quiet from the US, and so specs turned seller with both long liquidation and day trader shorts contributing to additional losses, exaggerated by a lack of resting buy orders. We were close to 18.10 before any meaningful buying appeared, and even then, the price continued to grind down to an eventual low at 17.93. Short covering did pull the price back above 18.00, however the recovery was limited and in the context of yesterdays effort it proved a poor way in which to end the week. Spreads were again seeing strong rolling and Oct’26/March’27 saw another 6-figure volume, though the value continued to hold a narrow band either side of -1.00 points. Oct’26 settled at 18.15, towards the lower end of this weeks range and suggesting we may continue to swing around across similar ground on Monday.

 

ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Oct26 523.10 -15.20 ▼ 534.70 539.70 521.00 522.20 8,875 19,799 566.80 391.10
Dec26 528.70 -12.90 ▼ 536.80 542.50 526.30 528.80 14,531 73,868 554.70 393.20
Mar27 532.80 -13.50 ▼ 543.00 546.70 531.10 532.90 7,207 46,537 550.60 398.00
May27 533.20 -12.80 ▼ 542.40 546.00 531.60 533.30 2,427 18,135 548.20 401.40
Aug27 527.20 -11.40 ▼ 535.40 538.10 525.70 526.70 455 8,709 540.30 404.30
Oct27 521.00 -9.80 ▼ 528.60 530.10 519.60 520.40 232 4,714 532.50 408.20
Dec27 517.90 -8.40 ▼ 524.00 525.00 516.20 517.50 153 2,533 528.20 414.30
Mar28 517.10 -7.30 ▼ 522.00 522.00 515.30 516.20 44 877 525.60 421.00
May28 513.50 -6.20 ▼ 513.60 513.60 512.50 512.50 30 652 513.60 426.30
Aug28 505.90 -5.40 ▼ 505.50 505.50 505.50 505.50 1 612 505.50 431.10
Oct28 500.30 5.90 ▲ 494.20 494.20 494.20 494.20 1 20 494.20 441.70
Dec28 498.50 5.50 ▲ 493.50 493.50 493.50 493.50 1 6 493.50 468.60
Mar29 496.20 -5.20 ▼ 496.60 496.60 496.60 496.60 1 1 496.60 483.20
May29 495.70 -5.80 ▼ 495.60 495.60 495.60 495.60 1 2 496.20 483.90
Total               33,959 176,465    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Oct26 / Dec26 -5.60 Dec26 / Mar27 -4.10
Oct26 / Mar27 -9.70 Mar27 / May27 -0.40
Oct26 / May27 -10.10 May27 / Aug27 6.00
Oct26 / Aug27 -4.10 Aug27 / Oct27 6.20

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
Oct26 / Oct26 122.96 May28 / May28 121.08
Mar27 / Mar27 111.06 Jul28 / Aug28 122.08
May27 / May27 124.46 Oct28 / Oct28 116.48
Jul27 / Aug27 126.40 Mar29 / Mar29 104.44
Oct27 / Oct27 119.54 May29 / May29 114.96
Mar28 / Mar28 108.36    
*Values calculated basis 6:20 PM.

 

Dec’26 slumped lower on today’s opening, however the nature of yesterday’s buying was encouraging some supportive interest and by the middle of the morning we had recovered to a small credit at $542.50. With No.11 under pressure this represented the high and through the next couple of hours the price edged back from this mark to leave the market direction less clear. Doubts were settled early in the afternoon as sellers moved to push process back to new daily lows, and this set the trend for more significant losses which ultimately sent Dec’26 to $526.30 and in so doing erased the gains shown for white premiums earlier in the day. Oct/Dec’26 saw steady interest send the differential down to a -$6.50 low, with Oct’26 open interest falling to 19,799 lots. Some pre-weekend book tidying did see the price move back above %530.00 later in the day but it did not sustain and by the close Dec’26 was valued at $528.70 with Oct/Dec’26 heading into its final two sessions at -$5.60.

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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