Raw Sugar Update 

Amidst a series of slow trading sessions this morning was proving quieter than most with March’26 continuing either side of 14.20 on limited activity. Lows were recorded at 14.18 during the first hour and it appeared that even the smaller/day traders have retreated from the market as the spot month saw barely 6,000 lots change hands throughout the morning. Initially the afternoon failed to bring any fresh interest, and while there was then some interest from Americas based specs which took the spot upward to 14.42 it lacked the substance to punch the price outside of yesterdays parameters. The situation changed after a pause, and some light short covering provided the impetus to move beyond 14.50 for the first time in a week, though the move faded and the price did not move further than 14.56 to leave the value still some distance short of last Mondays 14.73 mark. Spreads were slightly higher on modest volume, with the flat price rally helping March/May’26 out to 0.45 points, while March’26 found continuing support as it looked to hold above 14.50 into the close. This was successfully achieved with a close posted at 14.52, providing some small brightness to the picture despite the prevailing rangebound parameters. 

Raw Sugar No.11 (SB) – ICE Futures US Softs
Month Open High Low Sett Chg Last Vol O/I
Mar’26 14.27 14.57 14.18 14.52 0.27 14.57 49,532 488,112
May’26 13.90 14.12 13.80 14.07 0.21 14.11 24,485 172,321
Jul’26 13.82 14.04 13.74 13.99 0.21 14.03 10,981 107,383
Oct’26 14.08 14.30 14.02 14.26 0.20 14.30 6,896 73,870
Mar’27 14.73 14.97 14.69 14.93 0.20 14.96 3,209 41,107
May’27 14.59 14.82 14.56 14.79 0.20 14.79 1,539 20,982
Jul’27 14.54 14.82 14.54 14.80 0.21 14.81 1,006 15,318
Oct’27 14.82 15.07 14.81 15.05 0.21 15.05 602 13,888
Mar’28 15.39 15.65 15.39 15.63 0.21 15.65 205 4,931
May’28 15.27 15.52 15.27 15.50 0.21 15.52 131 2,282
Jul’28 15.28 15.54 15.28 15.52 0.22 15.54 86 2,124
                 
Total             98,672 942,318

White Sugar Update 

March’26 lost a little ground through the opening exchanges and recorded lows at $407.50, however as with recent days there was only limited flat price input being seen and the market broadly headed sideways after the early hedging requirements had concluded. Dec’25/March’26 was continuing to trade at a small discount, however the sell side was lacking the aggression of recent days and so the pressure from the top of the board released and enabled prices to drift calmly. This was in part due to another reduction in the Dec’25 open interest to 12,645 lots, and while this figure would still represent a sizable tender it does show a reduced appetite to take delivery. We had to wait until the afternoon for any dynamic movement with the buyside attracting some interest and bringing March’26 up to $413.80, the first in a series of stops as the market punched ahead to its highest level this month. Highs were recorded at $417.70 during the final hour and the gain was largely consolidated into the close with a settlement made at $416.40. Dec’25/March’26 maintained its return to a small premium with a close at $1.40, and with no sign of a squeeze as we head towards Fridays tender it may just have found its level. 

White Sugar No.5 (QW) – ICE Futures Europe Commodities
Month Open High Low Sett Chg Last Vol O/I
Dec’25 408.20 418.60 406.40 417.80 9.90 418.40 8,335 12,645
Mar’26 409.70 417.70 407.50 416.40 7.20 417.30 13,773 76,015
May’26 406.40 413.30 404.50 412.40 6.00 413.30 3,642 26,425
Aug’26 403.10 408.80 401.20 407.90 5.10 408.40 1,691 14,448
Oct’26 401.40 406.80 399.80 406.00 4.60 406.60 328 5,245
Dec’26 402.70 409.20 402.70 408.30 4.10 409.20 170 2,766
Mar’27 408.30 415.00 408.30 414.00 4.30 415.00 64 2,494
May’27          –              –              –   419.10 4.10 416.50 7 909
Aug’27 419.70 419.70 419.70 423.20 4.10 419.70 3 659
Oct’27          –              –              –   425.60 4.20 426.90 1 542
Dec’27          –              –              –   429.80 4.10 429.40 1 343
Mar’28          –              –              –   435.40 3.40 434.70 1 192
May’28          –              –              –   439.60 3.40 1 146
Aug’28          –              –              –   442.30 3.40            –                –  
Total             28,017 142,829

Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

More from this author