ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Jul26 15.01 0.28 14.76 15.13 14.69 15.04 64,000 414,867 20.72 13.34
Oct26 15.46 0.25 15.27 15.57 15.17 15.48 31,957 235,103 20.67 13.70
Mar27 16.28 0.22 16.10 16.39 16.02 16.31 16,893 170,522 19.14 14.42
May27 16.07 0.20 15.91 16.17 15.83 16.09 5,266 50,707 17.99 14.29
Jul27 16.06 0.18 15.90 16.16 15.83 16.08 3,897 44,262 17.76 14.27
Oct27 16.31 0.18 16.14 16.41 16.14 16.33 2,270 21,918 17.64 14.45
Mar28 16.92 0.18 16.79 17.01 16.79 16.99 418 12,408 17.83 14.97
May28 16.62 0.18 16.55 16.71 16.55 16.71 153 6,108 17.53 14.82
Jul28 16.54 0.16 16.58 16.64 16.52 16.62 51 6,051 17.06 14.74
Oct28 16.73 0.12 16.45 16.45 16.45 16.45 1 3,892 16.97 15.01
Mar29 17.25 0.12 16.96 16.96 16.96 16.96 1 119 16.96 16.35
Total               124,907 965,957    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Jul26 / Oct26 -0.45 May27 / Jul27 0.01
Jul26 / Mar27 -1.27 May27 / Oct27 -0.24
Jul26 / May27 -1.06 Jul27 / Oct27 -0.25
Jul26 / Jul27 -1.05 Jul27 / Mar28 -0.86
Oct26 / Mar27 -0.82 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.61
Oct26 / May27 -0.61 Oct27 / May28 -0.31
Mar27 / May27 0.21 Mar28 / May28 0.30
Mar27 / Jul27 0.22 Mar28 / Jul28 0.38

 

It was a slow start to the day as early trading saw Jul’26 maintain near to last night’s closing value, but when the first stone was cast soon after by the day traders it was from the long side. Their efforts yielded quick results in the thin environment with the price pushed ahead to 14.94 across the next hour before progress slowed when some more tangible selling stated to appear ahead of 15.00. Still the play remained positive and by late morning there was fresh ground being broken with the move to 15.00 finally being made and highs achieved at 15.05. Grower pricing was moderate, but still sufficient in quantity to cap the market wit the failure to work any higher drawing a return to the 14.80’s against profit taking during the afternoon. Smaller specs were undeterred by this however and the rest of the session continued to see upside probing and eventual daily highs at 15.13 during the final hour as the longs looked to paint a positive picture on which to end the session. MOC risk reduction meant a closing value at 15.01 which ends the run of 3 consecutive downward sessions though changes nothing in terms of the overall picture. 

 
ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Aug26 441.00 4.50 437.00 446.60 433.80 441.50 8,253 58,804 519.20 392.30
Oct26 441.00 4.10 437.30 446.30 434.90 441.40 4,716 30,855 514.40 391.10
Dec26 443.90 4.20 440.30 448.20 437.80 444.40 2,261 16,882 514.40 393.20
Mar27 449.70 4.30 446.10 453.50 444.00 450.40 1,326 14,935 511.80 398.00
May27 452.10 3.90 447.10 455.40 447.10 452.30 646 3,411 495.00 401.40
Aug27 452.50 4.20 450.40 453.80 450.40 452.40 107 3,097 491.50 404.30
Oct27 454.00 4.10 452.00 454.10 452.00 454.10 21 1,419 491.00 408.20
Dec27 458.00 4.20 456.00 458.40 456.00 458.40 9 929 492.80 414.30
Mar28 463.50 4.40 461.20 464.00 461.20 463.90 8 587 480.50 421.00
May28 465.60 5.10 463.40 463.40 463.40 463.40 1 569 482.40 426.30
Aug28 465.60 -5.20 473.60 473.60 473.30 473.30 2 147 481.30 431.10
Oct28 466.60 24.30 441.70 441.70 441.70 441.70 1 9 443.50 441.70
Dec28 468.90  
Mar29 471.90  
Total               17,351 131,644    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Aug26 / Oct26 0.00 Oct26 / Dec26 -2.90
Aug26 / Dec26 -2.90 Dec26 / Mar27 -5.80
Aug26 / Mar27 -8.70 Mar27 / May27 -2.40
Aug26 / May27 -11.10 May27 / Aug27 -0.40

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
Jul26 / Aug26 110.09 Mar28 / Mar28 90.48
Oct26 / Oct26 100.17 May28 / May28 99.19
Mar27 / Mar27 90.79 Jul28 / Aug28 100.96
May27 / May27 97.82 Oct28 / Oct28 97.77
Jul27 / Aug27 98.44 Mar29 / Mar29 91.60
Oct27 / Oct27 94.43    
*Values calculated basis 6:11 PM.

 

Aug’26 was pushed down to $433.80 during the first ten minutes, but with No.11 not falling some support soon began to manifest and it was not long before the market moved back up to erase these losses. A slow morning then ensued in which buyers gradually edged the price higher without showing any real desire to drive back up towards last weeks highs, very much a case of accepting the rangebound status quo while hoping to make a small turn against day trades. This activity did gather a little more pace with an early afternoon spike to $445.70 ahead of position liquidation / profit taking, with the picture then calming to hold the lower $440’s. Nearby spreads saw moderate interest through the day but little price movement with Aug/Oct’26 maintaining near to even money, while the Aug/Jul’26 white premium was only thinly traded as it worked wither side of last night’s value on the flat price swings. More interest did arrive during the final hour as increase buying enable Aug’26 to reach a high at $446.60, but it came at a cost with late position liquidation erasing a large chunk of the daily gain. This left Aug’26 settling at $441.00, and despite the buyers’ efforts through the day we remain some distance from this months highs.

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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