ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Mar27 18.94 0.33 ▲ 18.61 19.05 18.55 18.96 63,244 605,519 19.90 14.42
May27 18.38 0.34 ▲ 18.08 18.48 18.02 18.40 28,681 182,504 19.19 14.29
Jul27 18.07 0.30 ▲ 17.80 18.17 17.76 18.10 21,138 125,394 18.76 14.27
Oct27 18.09 0.25 ▲ 17.86 18.20 17.85 18.11 14,482 72,883 18.70 14.45
Mar28 18.45 0.23 ▲ 18.23 18.57 18.22 18.48 7,368 42,371 18.97 14.97
May28 17.70 0.15 ▲ 17.56 17.84 17.56 17.72 1,739 15,090 18.18 14.82
Jul28 17.28 0.08 ▲ 17.28 17.45 17.25 17.29 1,023 13,435 17.74 14.74
Oct28 17.24 0.04 ▲ 17.27 17.42 17.23 17.25 788 10,996 17.67 15.01
Mar29 17.61 0.03 ▲ 17.67 17.69 17.60 17.62 498 2,732 17.94 16.20
May29 17.25 0.06 ▲ 17.27 17.27 17.25 17.25 222 787 17.40 16.02
Jul29 17.10 0.08 ▲ 17.10 17.10 17.10 17.10 1 1,262 17.13 16.23
Total               139,184 1,072,973    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Mar27 / May27 0.56 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.36
Mar27 / Jul27 0.87 Oct27 / May28 0.39
Mar27 / Oct27 0.85 Mar28 / May28 0.75
Mar27 / Mar28 0.49 Mar28 / Jul28 1.17
May27 / Jul27 0.31 May28 / Jul28 0.42
May27 / Oct27 0.29 May28 / Oct28 0.46
Jul27 / Oct27 -0.02 Jul28 / Oct28 0.04
Jul27 / Mar28 -0.38 Jul28 / Mar29 -0.33

 

March’27 commenced its tenure as spot with some positive movement, immediately looking to work back up through the recent range. Specs were driving the early effort that saw the price reach once more to 19.00, though as with recent moves there was a lack of substance to the buying which became apparent at the sight of some heavier overhead grower pricing. Inevitable there was some profit taking seen after the progress had stalled, and the picture quietened to leave the market holding on to more modest gains across the rest of the morning. Larger funds remain aside from the market currently and are content to hold their core position added a few weeks ago and so the impact from the US has proved more limited. Much of the afternoon was an example of this struggle as the price action continued within the range but saw successive efforts to push new ground fall short in the low to mid 18.90’s until a more aggressive move extended the high to 19.05. Spreads meanwhile were quiet, and though March/May’27 lost a few points the general air of the market was one of calm despite the flat price efforts. The later stages played out in the 18.90’s to establish a settlement level at 18.94, the highest achieved in more than 2 weeks and providing hope for those looking to move the market up ahead of London Sugar week.  

As anticipated, The Oct’26 expiry saw a tender for 28,574 lots (1,451,631t) of Brazilian sugars.

 

ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Dec26 507.30 1.00 ▲ 509.50 516.00 503.80 508.40 11,607 62,981 554.70 393.20
Mar27 521.10 2.80 ▲ 521.20 527.10 517.70 522.30 8,288 47,688 550.60 398.00
May27 527.60 4.70 ▲ 525.70 531.80 523.60 528.70 2,643 22,169 548.20 401.40
Aug27 524.10 4.70 ▲ 521.50 527.70 520.40 524.90 476 11,074 540.30 404.30
Oct27 519.40 4.40 ▲ 516.50 522.50 516.50 520.20 212 5,027 532.50 408.20
Dec27 516.30 4.40 ▲ 515.80 519.00 513.80 516.00 89 2,791 528.20 414.30
Mar28 514.30 2.50 ▲ 509.20 509.20 509.20 509.20 4 813 525.60 421.00
May28 507.90 -0.40 ▼ 506.30 506.30 506.20 506.20 3 632 513.60 426.30
Aug28 498.50 -3.80 ▼ 500.90 500.90 500.60 500.60 2 608 505.50 431.10
Oct28 493.40 -7.10 ▼ 500.00 500.00 500.00 500.00 8 58 500.00 441.70
Dec28 492.70 -7.20 ▼ 500.50 500.50 500.50 500.50 1 6 500.50 468.60
Mar29 493.40 -5.20 ▼ 498.90 498.90 498.90 498.90 1 2 498.90 483.20
May29 492.30 -2.90 ▼ 500.50 500.50 500.40 500.40 2 2 500.50 483.90
Aug29 491.30 —   — — — — — — — —
Total               23,336 153,851    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Dec26 / Mar27 -13.80 Mar27 / May27 -6.50
Dec26 / May27 -20.30 May27 / Aug27 3.50
Dec26 / Aug27 -16.80 Aug27 / Oct27 4.70
Dec26 / Oct27 -12.10 Oct27 / Dec27 3.10

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
Mar27 / Mar27 103.54 Jul28 / Aug28 117.54
May27 / May27 122.39 Oct28 / Oct28 113.32
Jul27 / Aug27 125.73 Mar29 / Mar29 105.17
Oct27 / Oct27 120.58 May29 / May29 112.00
Mar28 / Mar28 107.55 Jul29 / Aug29 114.31
May28 / May28 117.68    
*Values calculated basis 6:09 PM.

 

The market began the day trading higher as it tracked No.11 gains, and the progress continued through the first hour to a Dec’26 high at $516.00. Despite representing a 2-week high there was no continuation of the move, and by the middle of the morning some nerves were being seen with a return to the $509.00 area. Today’s highs represent the third time in this period that the market has topped between $515.60 and $516.00 and smaller traders may begin to view moves with additional caution as the fear of being swung out at a loss grows. The reaction as we moved into the afternoon suggested that this is already happening as the price slipped further to session lows at $503.80, activity which was also seeing the nearby spreads under yet more pressure with Dec’26/March’27 down to -$14.00 while the March/March’27 erased recent recovery and fell to $105.00. There was a rally to $511.50 in reaction to No.11 making new daily highs, but the price set back again through the last hour to further weaken the white premium to $103.50. MOC buying ensured a small gain as we closed at $507.30, though overall it was another uninspiring showing from the whites.

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Market chart asset

 

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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