Raw Sugar Update

The market continued to trundle along slowly on the resumption, and though initial unchanged trades soon gave way to a dip into the upper 17.30’s the market was showing little intent to push much further. The losses were then erased to place Jul’25 back to a small credit by the end of the morning though interest levels remained low with hopes now resting on US specs to provide some movement and prevent the session descending into another slow drift. This proved to be forlorn hope as values simply continued along a similar path well into the afternoon, with noteworthy movement on being seen during the last couple of hours. Again, it was the downside that saw the movement with some fresh selling emerging and sending Jul’25 down to 17.26 before it dug in and mounted a late comeback against the usual end of day position covering. Still the market remained lower with Jul’25 posting a settlement at 17.34, bringing another slow and tedious session to a conclusion by maintaining the lower drift even if there remains some work to if we are to revisit the earl month low at 16.97.

Raw Sugar No.11 (SB) – ICE Futures US Softs
Month Open High Low Sett Chg Last Vol O/I
Jul’25 17.47 17.55 17.26 17.34 -0.11 17.41 40,063 327,611
Oct’25 17.64 17.73 17.44 17.53 -0.12 17.59 20,417 169,096
Mar’26 18.06 18.13 17.86 17.94 -0.11 18.01 10,446 124,097
May’26 17.43 17.50 17.25 17.33 -0.10 17.40 3,710 62,508
Jul’26 17.17 17.26 17.04 17.11 -0.10 17.17 2,692 41,888
Oct’26 17.30 17.32 17.12 17.19 -0.10 17.26 1,473 33,234
Mar’27 17.61 17.66 17.53 17.57 -0.09 17.62 557 16,275
May’27 17.26 17.29 17.19 17.23 -0.07 17.29 589 7,698
Jul’27 17.14 17.15 17.08 17.11 -0.07 17.15 383 9,836
Oct’27 17.26 17.27 17.20 17.23 -0.07 17.27 10 6,247
Mar’28 17.56 17.56 17.56 17.58 -0.07 17.56 3 630
                 
Total             80,343 799,120

 

White Sugar Update

Having started the day with trades in proximity of last night’s closing levels the market soon returned to its recent style as pressure was applied to Aug’25 which sent it down to $486.00. This is just $2.00 above the lows recorded at the start of the month and while some consumer pricing interest was found against this chart point the market remains in a vulnerable position. Across of the rest of the morning the value gradually worked back away from this low as short covering combined with consumer interest to nudge back to the $490.00 area, though as with recent days the movement was based on limited volume as most sellers continue to stand aside. Through into the afternoon trading became a little choppier and along the way we saw a high at $491.60, but again the upside was proving unsustainable and with a couple of hours remaining the spec sellers returned to reapply the pressure and send the market back down. Despite trading within 0.10c of the morning low there was no fresh ground broken ahead of the close, and though an eventful ending saw prices move back up on short covering a settlement level at $487.10 suggests we may see further attempts to test the recent lows. 

White Sugar No.5 (QW) – ICE Futures Europe Commodities
Month Open High Low Sett Chg Last Vol O/I
Aug’25 490.00 491.60 486.00 487.10 -2.40 488.20 7,179 48,474
Oct’25 486.10 487.40 481.90 483.10 -3.10 484.20 1,718 19,045
Dec’25 485.00 486.60 481.30 482.80 -2.80 484.10 845 10,113
Mar’26 486.70 489.20 483.80 485.40 -2.80 485.40 285 8,204
May’26 484.70 487.00 482.10 483.40 -2.70 483.40 38 3,810
Aug’26 481.80 483.50 479.60 480.80 -2.70 479.60 19 2,061
Oct’26 480.30 481.60 480.30 479.20 -2.50 481.60 13 1,070
Dec’26 481.70 481.70 481.70 480.40 -2.60 481.70 6 961
Mar’27 485.20 485.20 483.40 483.60 -2.40 484.30 5 354
May’27          –              –              –   484.50 -2.40 490.00            –   220
Aug’27          –              –              –   484.90 -2.40            –   12
Oct’27          –              –              –   485.00 -2.40            –   60
Dec’27          –              –              –   483.80 -2.40            –                –  
Mar’28          –              –              –   483.10 -2.40            –                –  
Total             10,108 94,384

Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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