No.11 raw sugar futures saw a firmer start to the day, with Jul’26 advancing from early levels to reach a high at 14.35 by mid-morning as initial buying interest carried prices higher. This strength proved short-lived however, and the market began to roll over as late morning approached.

From around 11:00 onwards a steady phase of selling developed, with the market working its way lower in an orderly fashion rather than through any sharp or aggressive moves. Prices gradually slipped through the mid-14.20’s and into the low 14.10’s during the afternoon, with the consistent nature of the decline suggesting a persistent supply of sellers rather than a single wave of liquidation. Volume built modestly through this phase, though without the kind of spike typically associated with more forced activity.

Into the later stages the market remained heavy and continued to edge along the lower end of the range, with only limited attempts at recovery and little to disrupt the prevailing direction. A pickup in activity into the close saw Jul’26 hold close to the lows of the day, finishing at 14.07.

In the context of recent trade, this session adds to the gradual softening seen over recent days, with the orderly nature of today’s move reinforcing the lack of buying urgency and leaving the market drifting back towards the lower end of the broader range that has developed since the recovery from April’s lows.

ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Jul26 14.06 0.13 13.94 14.35 13.90 14.07 72,879 381,256 20.72 13.34
Oct26 14.54 0.13 14.41 14.82 14.38 14.56 41,758 248,945 20.67 13.70
Mar27 15.40 0.12 15.26 15.67 15.26 15.41 15,229 180,942 19.14 14.42
May27 15.22 0.11 15.06 15.47 15.06 15.23 7,163 53,485 17.99 14.29
Jul27 15.24 0.10 15.15 15.50 15.12 15.24 5,550 51,372 17.76 14.27
Oct27 15.52 0.09 15.44 15.76 15.44 15.49 1,119 22,831 17.64 14.45
Mar28 16.17 0.08 16.21 16.41 16.20 16.21 175 13,232 17.83 14.97
May28 15.91 0.08 15.86 16.15 15.84 15.95 107 6,662 17.53 14.82
Jul28 15.86 0.07 15.86 15.86 15.81 15.81 6 6,327 17.06 14.74
Oct28 16.06 0.06 16.10 16.10 16.10 16.10 1 4,170 16.97 15.01
Mar29 16.59 -0.07 16.55 16.55 16.55 16.55 1 147 17.08 16.35
Total 143,988 969,369
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Jul26 / Oct26 -0.48 May27 / Jul27 -0.02
Jul26 / Mar27 -1.34 May27 / Oct27 -0.30
Jul26 / May27 -1.16 Jul27 / Oct27 -0.28
Jul26 / Jul27 -1.18 Jul27 / Mar28 -0.93
Oct26 / Mar27 -0.86 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.65
Oct26 / May27 -0.68 Oct27 / May28 -0.39
Mar27 / May27 0.18 Mar28 / May28 0.26
Mar27 / Jul27 0.16 Mar28 / Jul28 0.31

 

No.5 white sugar futures showed a positive start to the session, with Aug’26 rallying from an early low at $427.30 and pushing up to a high at $440.40 by mid-morning. The move was relatively smooth and extended, with prices gaining traction quickly before encountering resistance at higher levels.

As the session progressed the advance began to lose momentum, and values gradually eased back from the highs through late morning and into the afternoon. The pullback developed in a fairly controlled manner, with no sharp break lower but a steady drift back into the upper $430’s as buying interest faded.

The broader direction was influenced by the softer move in No.11 during the latter part of the day, and while whites did not follow the same persistent downward pattern, the market did relinquish a portion of its earlier gains. Activity remained moderate through this phase, with the price moving within a relatively contained band and without any significant acceleration in either direction.

Into the close, Aug’26 held around the mid-$430’s and settled at $438.60, posting a solid gain on the day despite the afternoon pullback.

ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Aug26 438.20 12.50 428.60 440.40 427.30 438.60 16,136 59,670 519.20 392.30
Oct26 434.30 8.90 428.40 437.80 426.70 435.00 9,944 34,219 514.40 391.10
Dec26 434.40 6.70 429.60 439.20 429.10 435.00 4,068 19,540 514.40 393.20
Mar27 438.90 5.70 435.00 443.40 434.70 439.40 1,915 16,894 511.80 398.00
May27 440.90 5.60 436.80 445.40 436.80 440.70 682 4,154 495.00 401.40
Aug27 440.30 5.30 438.90 444.40 438.90 440.00 171 3,252 491.50 404.30
Oct27 441.00 4.70 441.80 445.60 441.80 442.80 34 1,554 491.00 408.20
Dec27 444.90 -1.50 443.80 443.80 442.80 443.30 12 1,036 492.80 414.30
Mar28 450.20 -15.70 464.90 465.10 461.60 461.60 5 599 480.50 421.00
May28 452.20 -16.10 467.00 467.00 462.80 463.00 40 560 482.40 426.30
Aug28 451.40 -19.40 473.60 473.60 473.30 473.30 2 147 481.30 431.10
Oct28 452.40 10.10 441.70 441.70 441.70 441.70 1 9 443.50 441.70
Dec28 454.70
Mar29 457.70
Total 33,010 141,634
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Aug26 / Oct26 3.90 Oct26 / Dec26 -0.10
Aug26 / Dec26 3.80 Dec26 / Mar27 -4.50
Aug26 / Mar27 -0.70 Mar27 / May27 -2.00
Aug26 / May27 -2.70 May27 / Aug27 0.60

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
Jul26 / Aug26 128.23 Mar28 / Mar28 93.71
Oct26 / Oct26 113.75 May28 / May28 101.44
Mar27 / Mar27 99.39 Jul28 / Aug28 101.75
May27 / May27 105.36 Oct28 / Oct28 98.34
Jul27 / Aug27 104.32 Mar29 / Mar29 91.95
Oct27 / Oct27 98.84
*Values calculated basis 6:16 PM.

 

 

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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