ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Oct26 18.70 0.34 ▲ 18.30 18.77 18.07 18.71 121,590 444,713 20.67 13.70
Mar27 19.64 0.31 ▲ 19.31 19.71 19.02 19.64 112,929 403,983 19.71 14.42
May27 18.92 0.19 ▲ 18.70 18.99 18.45 18.92 44,583 174,425 18.99 14.29
Jul27 18.40 0.12 ▲ 18.21 18.48 18.03 18.41 23,934 115,192 18.48 14.27
Oct27 18.31 0.10 ▲ 18.18 18.39 17.99 18.30 10,503 64,311 18.39 14.45
Mar28 18.53 0.06 ▲ 18.44 18.61 18.28 18.55 4,112 36,318 18.61 14.97
May28 17.71 0.04 ▲ 17.63 17.80 17.49 17.70 1,785 12,717 17.80 14.82
Jul28 17.23 0.01 ▲ 17.18 17.34 17.05 17.24 922 11,880 17.34 14.74
Oct28 17.17 -0.01 ▼ 17.14 17.28 17.05 17.17 500 9,509 17.28 15.01
Mar29 17.45 -0.01 ▼ 17.35 17.45 17.35 17.45 115 1,551 17.68 16.20
May29 16.87 -0.01 ▼ 16.84 17.00 16.84 17.00 20 294 17.28 16.02
Jul29 16.60 -0.01 ▼ 16.57 16.71 16.57 16.71 10 653 17.13 16.23
Total               321,003 1,275,546    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Oct26 / Mar27 -0.94 Jul27 / Oct27 0.09
Oct26 / May27 -0.22 Jul27 / Mar28 -0.13
Oct26 / Jul27 0.30 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.22
Oct26 / Oct27 0.39 Oct27 / May28 0.60
Mar27 / May27 0.72 Mar28 / May28 0.82
Mar27 / Jul27 1.24 Mar28 / Jul28 1.30
May27 / Jul27 0.52 May28 / Jul28 0.48
May27 / Oct27 0.61 May28 / Oct28 0.54

 

The market swung lower during the early exchanges and sat in the vicinity of 18.20 for a period, though again it appeared that support was in place to hold prices above 18.00. A return to overnight levels followed later in the morning, though activity remained relatively light in comparison to recent sessions and by early afternoon the spot faded back down through the range to a low mark at 18.07. Like yesterday we then saw the funds make a belated entry to the environment, proving their desire to continue building upon the recent momentum with a sharp mid-afternoon push away from these lows and ahead to challenge last weeks 18.66 high mark, and the efforts soon bore fruit. While grower selling started to provide more resistance there was sufficient strength to the buying that Oct’26 extended ahead to 18.77, and the longs showed a keenness to hold these gains and achieve a positive technical close as they maintained near to the top of the range into the final hour. This effort ensured a strong close at 18.70, providing the platform from which a continuation beyond 19.00 now appears eminently possible. 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Oct26 539.20 5.20 ▲ 530.10 541.50 525.50 539.60 13,159 44,833 566.80 391.10
Dec26 536.60 3.50 ▲ 530.20 539.30 524.90 536.60 17,110 64,257 554.70 393.20
Mar27 538.80 2.90 ▲ 533.50 540.80 528.10 539.20 7,854 38,800 550.60 398.00
May27 538.20 2.00 ▲ 533.30 539.70 528.60 538.50 3,404 17,653 545.00 401.40
Aug27 529.50 0.50 ▲ 525.80 530.80 522.50 529.40 910 7,588 532.40 404.30
Oct27 521.00 -0.90 ▼ 518.80 522.00 516.50 520.90 477 4,160 523.50 408.20
Dec27 516.70 -0.70 ▼ 516.90 517.80 513.40 517.40 455 1,901 519.80 414.30
Mar28 514.80 -0.50 ▼ 514.40 514.80 514.10 514.80 18 897 517.90 421.00
May28 508.60 -0.60 ▼ 508.70 508.70 508.70 508.70 14 672 511.20 426.30
Aug28 499.50 -1.00 ▼ 499.60 499.60 499.60 499.60 8 607 499.60 431.10
Oct28 493.90 -0.50 ▼ 494.20 494.20 494.20 494.20 1 19 494.20 441.70
Dec28 493.00 0.00   493.50 493.50 493.50 493.50 1 6 493.50 468.60
Mar29 494.60 2.60 ▲ 495.40 495.40 495.40 495.40 1 1 495.40 483.20
May29 495.20 2.70 ▲ 496.20 496.20 496.20 496.20 1 1 496.20 483.90
Total               43,413 181,395    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Oct26 / Dec26 2.60 Dec26 / Mar27 -2.20
Oct26 / Mar27 0.40 Mar27 / May27 0.60
Oct26 / May27 1.00 May27 / Aug27 8.70
Oct26 / Aug27 9.70 Aug27 / Oct27 8.50

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
Oct26 / Oct26 126.94 May28 / May28 118.16
Mar27 / Mar27 105.81 Jul28 / Aug28 119.64
May27 / May27 121.09 Oct28 / Oct28 115.37
Jul27 / Aug27 123.85 Mar29 / Mar29 109.89
Oct27 / Oct27 117.33 May29 / May29 123.28
Mar28 / Mar28 106.28    
*Values calculated basis 6:12 PM.

 

The market took a kick lower during the opening minutes and both Oct’26 and Dec’26 moved back into the mid $520’s, though with the spec sector still providing support the downward movement was tempered. An uneventful morning followed on which Dec’26 held in the mid to upper $520’s, providing a period of consolidation which will have been welcomed by many in the context of recent movements. This lasted into the afternoon, and we saw lows at $524.90 before buying returned, again driven by the funds as they seek out every opportunity to push higher and further improve the status of their positions. Resistance was limited away from the highs and so the market was able to comfortably progress to a high at $539.30, only moving back slightly during the last hour when some traders looked to lock in day profits. Ahead of the Oct’26 expiry the spreads were continuing to provide the largest interest and Oct/Dec’26 posted successive positive sessions as rolling extended the value to $3.50 premium later in the day. This was not enough to continue yesterday’s white premium recovery and Oct/Oct’26 held more calmly in the $128.00 area, while March/March’27 fell back a few dollars to $106.00. Closing values were a small way shy of the highs with Dec’26 valued at $536.60, maintaining the firm market position.  

 

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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