Raw Sugar Update

The session got underway on a positive footing as March’26 found some buying and printed up to 16.59, just 10 points short of Tuesdays high and continuing the ‘inconsistent’ nature of recent activities. The buying then eased up and what little activity that we did see through the rest of the morning took place within a tight band in the 16.50’s while most trades simply observed from the sidelines. The early afternoon saw a marginal new high print at 16.60 but there was no impetus to be found from those in the Americas, and it remained as we were with the sideways pattern continuing. Towards the middle of the afternoon there was a slight softening in price as a few longs were liquidated, but this served only to leave the market holding the mid/upper 16.40’s instead on still low interest. Another three hours of sideways trading eventually led us into the close where March’26 headed out at 16.47, a quiet way to end the week and with the market showing no inclination to leave the present range anytime soon. 

Raw Sugar No.11 (SB) – ICE Futures US Softs
Month Open High Low Sett Chg Last Vol O/I
Mar’26 16.44 16.60 16.40 16.47 0.07 16.50 36,230 463,630
May’26 16.00 16.10 15.92 15.99 0.07 16.02 12,261 138,519
Jul’26 15.85 15.94 15.77 15.84 0.05 15.87 6,134 88,673
Oct’26 16.07 16.17 16.00 16.07 0.05 16.09 5,065 58,636
Mar’27 16.60 16.68 16.51 16.57 0.02 16.58 2,788 31,647
May’27 16.27 16.34 16.16 16.22            –   16.22 1,266 17,841
Jul’27 16.11 16.16 16.00 16.04 -0.03 16.03 820 14,152
Oct’27 16.32 16.34 16.11 16.15 -0.06 16.14 652 13,016
Mar’28 16.72 16.72 16.51 16.56 -0.08 16.59 245 4,168
May’28 16.23 16.23 16.18 16.24 -0.10 16.18 114 1,939
Jul’28 16.10 16.10 16.05 16.11 -0.12 16.05 69 1,322
                 
Total             65,644 833,543

White Sugar update

Dec’25 flew higher as we opened and traded from $461.10 to $466.30 in the first few minutes before moving away from the highs. Still there were solid gains being maintained with a morning spent above $460.00 providing some reassurance for long holders who would have been concerned by the nature of Wednesday’s fall through the range. Volumes were the lowest seen for many weeks as prices edged along in the lower $460’s, and aside from a small nudge back to $463.90 during the early part of the afternoon there was little effort being made to generate movement. White premium values had been firmer against the flat price stability however that changed in the middle of the afternoon when some light selling at the top end of the board pushed back through into the $450’s to look again towards underlying support. Dec’25 made lows at $456.80 because of this and continued at the lower end of the range for the rest of the session before ending at $457.50. March/March’26 headed into the weekend at $92.30 and May/May’26 at $103.30, all of which points toward a further continuation of the same broad area seen over recent weeks.    

White Sugar No.5 (QW) – ICE Futures Europe Commodities
Month Open High Low Sett Chg Last Vol O/I
Dec’25 461.10 466.30 456.80 457.50 -1.20 457.70 7,942 72,500
Mar’26 456.90 461.40 454.10 455.40 1.10 455.60 6,301 33,692
May’26 456.50 460.50 454.70 455.80 1.90 456.00 1,542 14,590
Aug’26 454.90 458.40 453.10 454.50 2.00 454.60 259 6,835
Oct’26 454.40 457.20 453.00 454.10 2.00 454.90 52 3,602
Dec’26 457.40 459.60 455.70 456.90 1.80 457.60 20 2,437
Mar’27 464.30 464.50 460.60 461.80 1.40 462.40 7 1,486
May’27 468.20 468.40 464.10 465.20 0.80 465.70 8 540
Aug’27 470.70 470.80 466.40 467.40 0.30 467.80 13 414
Oct’27 471.80 471.80 467.40 468.50 0.20 468.80 92 464
Dec’27          –              –              –   470.80 -1.50 470.90 78 225
Mar’28          –              –              –   476.00 -1.50 477.20            –   191
May’28          –              –              –   480.30 -1.50 482.40            –   146
Aug’28          –              –              –   483.20 -1.50            –                 –  
Total             16,314 137,122

Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

More from this author