ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Oct26 18.07 -0.63 ▼ 18.65 18.67 17.65 17.99 165,230 438,194 20.67 13.70
Mar27 19.04 -0.60 ▼ 19.61 19.61 18.68 18.96 128,565 403,654 19.71 14.42
May27 18.44 -0.48 ▼ 18.87 18.89 18.10 18.35 31,134 177,418 18.99 14.29
Jul27 18.04 -0.36 ▼ 18.35 18.37 17.73 17.97 16,473 112,376 18.48 14.27
Oct27 18.04 -0.27 ▼ 18.26 18.28 17.76 17.98 6,794 64,449 18.39 14.45
Mar28 18.36 -0.17 ▼ 18.50 18.50 18.10 18.28 3,156 37,576 18.61 14.97
May28 17.63 -0.08 ▼ 17.69 17.69 17.38 17.55 1,834 12,959 17.80 14.82
Jul28 17.23 0.00   17.22 17.23 16.98 17.14 1,166 11,861 17.34 14.74
Oct28 17.23 0.06 ▲ 17.12 17.24 17.01 17.14 482 9,632 17.28 15.01
Mar29 17.57 0.12 ▲ 17.40 17.55 17.35 17.55 86 1,592 17.68 16.20
May29 17.03 0.16 ▲ 16.83 16.83 16.83 16.83 1 308 17.28 16.02
Jul29 16.80 0.19 ▲ 16.57 16.71 16.57 16.71 10 667 17.13 16.23
Total               354,931 1,270,686    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Oct26 / Mar27 -0.97 Jul27 / Oct27 0.00
Oct26 / May27 -0.37 Jul27 / Mar28 -0.32
Oct26 / Jul27 0.03 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.32
Oct26 / Oct27 0.03 Oct27 / May28 0.41
Mar27 / May27 0.60 Mar28 / May28 0.73
Mar27 / Jul27 1.00 Mar28 / Jul28 1.13
May27 / Jul27 0.40 May28 / Jul28 0.40
May27 / Oct27 0.40 May28 / Oct28 0.40

 

Initial trades were lower, and it will have concerned those who were holding the market high last night that Oct’26 soon chased down into the 18.30’s. Unlike recent days there was not the underlying support to hold prices and create a platform for continued strength, and through the middle of the morning some position liquidation from longs occurred, sending the price down below 18.00 and generating a sizable loss. Some defensive buying did arrive at this stage and into the early afternoon looked to hold the price back above 18.00, however the price soon fell back again and in so doing drew out some more long liquidation from specs. Lows were recorded midway through the afternoon at 17.65, a triple digit loss, though these did not last for long with day traders chasing back higher again when the market clawed back some ground. Spreads were seeing solid volume as Oct’26/March’27 traded either side of -1.00 points, with rolling volume increasing ahead of the index window next week. The later stages saw Oct’26 holding in the 18.00 area, and traders appeared with buying for the close to ensure a weaker showing at least ended with an 18c handle intact, Oct’26 settling at 18.07. 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Oct26 526.60 -12.60 ▼ 535.00 537.10 517.40 524.50 9,635 41,363 566.80 391.10
Dec26 524.30 -12.30 ▼ 532.50 534.00 517.00 522.30 15,553 65,604 554.70 393.20
Mar27 528.00 -10.80 ▼ 534.50 535.30 520.90 525.60 6,948 39,436 550.60 398.00
May27 528.30 -9.90 ▼ 535.00 535.00 521.50 526.40 2,066 18,251 545.00 401.40
Aug27 521.80 -7.70 ▼ 525.30 525.60 515.10 520.20 548 7,630 532.40 404.30
Oct27 515.30 -5.70 ▼ 517.20 517.90 509.00 513.90 154 4,250 523.50 408.20
Dec27 512.50 -4.20 ▼ 512.50 513.70 505.80 507.50 46 2,203 519.80 414.30
Mar28 511.60 -3.20 ▼ 505.70 505.70 505.70 505.70 2 896 517.90 421.00
May28 506.60 -2.60 ▼ 508.70 508.70 508.70 508.70 14 675 511.20 426.30
Aug28 498.40 -2.10 ▼ 499.60 499.60 499.60 499.60 8 609 499.60 431.10
Oct28 492.50 -1.90 ▼ 494.20 494.20 494.20 494.20 1 20 494.20 441.70
Dec28 491.00 -2.00 ▼ 493.50 493.50 493.50 493.50 1 6 493.50 468.60
Mar29 487.50 -4.50 ▼ 495.40 495.40 495.40 495.40 1 1 495.40 483.20
May29 487.60 -4.90 ▼ 496.20 496.20 496.20 496.20 1 2 496.20 483.90
Total               34,978 180,946    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Oct26 / Dec26 2.30 Dec26 / Mar27 -3.70
Oct26 / Mar27 -1.40 Mar27 / May27 -0.30
Oct26 / May27 -1.70 May27 / Aug27 6.50
Oct26 / Aug27 4.80 Aug27 / Oct27 6.50

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
Oct26 / Oct26 128.23 May28 / May28 117.93
Mar27 / Mar27 108.24 Jul28 / Aug28 118.54
May27 / May27 121.77 Oct28 / Oct28 112.64
Jul27 / Aug27 124.09 Mar29 / Mar29 100.15
Oct27 / Oct27 117.59 May29 / May29 112.15
Mar28 / Mar28 106.83    
*Values calculated basis 6:20 PM.

 

The price slumped lower to the mid $520’s this morning, reacting to the weaker start from No.11. Fund buyers retreated as the environment changed, and with only limited interest from consumers at these elevated values the market slipped further still as it struggled to find buying interest. This trend continued through into the afternoon and Dec’26 reached a session low at $517.00 along the way, a sharp loss but still within recent broad parameters and not undoing the chart strength at this stage. Short covering from day traders followed and enabled to price to recover back to $525, and in turn the price was able to stabilise and ensure that the remainder of the day played out away from the lows. Oct/Dec’26 saw lower volume than the last two days but still found solid interest against pre-expiry rolling at a small premium, while white premiums similarly showed little change for the day. The close arrived with Dec’26 at $524.30, a $12 loss as we look to see whether the funds return ahead of the weekend.

 

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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