ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Oct26 15.57 0.42 15.20 15.60 14.98 15.58 120,086 505,509 20.67 13.70
Mar27 16.49 0.39 16.13 16.54 15.94 16.50 65,403 308,072 19.14 14.42
May27 16.28 0.37 15.95 16.32 15.78 16.26 32,172 87,853 17.99 14.29
Jul27 16.21 0.35 15.86 16.25 15.73 16.18 15,559 77,579 17.76 14.27
Oct27 16.46 0.33 16.12 16.49 16.02 16.43 7,853 41,239 17.64 14.45
Mar28 17.09 0.30 16.76 17.13 16.69 17.07 2,552 19,041 17.83 14.97
May28 16.71 0.25 16.47 16.77 16.36 16.70 1,189 8,340 17.53 14.82
Jul28 16.58 0.22 16.36 16.67 16.27 16.58 808 8,258 17.06 14.74
Oct28 16.76 0.21 16.65 16.86 16.55 16.76 455 6,702 16.97 15.01
Mar29 17.28 0.20 17.35 17.35 17.26 17.26 21 362 17.35 16.20
May29 17.00 0.60 16.38 16.38 16.38 16.38 2 23 16.38 16.02
Jul29 16.86  
Total               246,100 1,062,978    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Oct26 / Mar27 -0.92 Jul27 / Oct27 -0.25
Oct26 / May27 -0.71 Jul27 / Mar28 -0.88
Oct26 / Jul27 -0.64 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.63
Oct26 / Oct27 -0.89 Oct27 / May28 -0.25
Mar27 / May27 0.21 Mar28 / May28 0.38
Mar27 / Jul27 0.28 Mar28 / Jul28 0.51
May27 / Jul27 0.07 May28 / Jul28 0.13
May27 / Oct27 -0.18 May28 / Oct28 -0.05

 

It Was a solid but unspectacular opening for the market as Oct’26 worked between 15.12 and 15.28 through the first hour, nestling in front of the overhead grower scales as specs looked to maintain the recent constructive picture. There was no change to this band across the morning, and when movement did arrive it was in an unexpected direction with a few longs reducing some risk and sending the price back to 14.98. The price quickly pushed back above 15.00 to undo any chart concerns, and then slowly looked to build back through the range to reach the upper end with little more than a couple of hours remaining. What followed this was spectacular with more than 36,000 lots Oct’26 traded across the next 45 minutes as aggressive spec/fund buying moved the market through 15.30 and ahead to 15.59, filling numerous producer scales / limits as chart points were removed. The higher levels did encourage some day traders to lock in profits along the way, but the mood remained positive and prices held in the 15.50’s into the last hour. Into the close action remained positive and Oct’26 posted a strong close at 15.57.

 

ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Oct26 486.90 10.00 477.30 489.70 471.30 487.60 12,823 80,147 514.40 391.10
Dec26 486.50 9.60 477.10 488.70 471.70 486.90 8,333 43,833 514.40 393.20
Mar27 487.50 9.30 478.30 489.50 473.30 487.60 4,826 27,877 511.80 398.00
May27 486.80 8.70 478.20 488.80 473.80 486.50 1,248 12,280 495.00 401.40
Aug27 482.60 8.10 474.60 485.00 471.30 482.20 449 5,875 491.50 404.30
Oct27 479.70 7.30 471.90 480.60 470.30 479.50 164 2,609 491.00 408.20
Dec27 480.10 6.50 474.40 481.30 471.70 480.10 90 1,372 492.80 414.30
Mar28 481.90 6.00 474.10 482.90 474.10 481.90 36 761 482.90 421.00
May28 478.90 5.30 471.90 483.40 471.70 478.90 27 712 483.40 426.30
Aug28 471.60 4.40 466.80 476.50 466.80 471.60 20 459 481.30 431.10
Oct28 468.80 1.30 466.80 466.80 466.80 466.80 1 17 466.80 441.70
Dec28 470.70 1.10 468.60 469.20 468.60 468.60 4 5 469.20 468.60
Mar29 473.70  
May29 472.70  
Total               28,021 175,947    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Oct26 / Dec26 0.40 Dec26 / Mar27 -1.00
Oct26 / Mar27 -0.60 Mar27 / May27 0.70
Oct26 / May27 0.10 May27 / Aug27 4.20
Oct26 / Aug27 4.30 Aug27 / Oct27 2.90

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
Oct26 / Oct26 143.64 May28 / May28 110.51
Mar27 / Mar27 123.96 Jul28 / Aug28 106.07
May27 / May27 127.89 Oct28 / Oct28 99.31
Jul27 / Aug27 125.23 Mar29 / Mar29 92.74
Oct27 / Oct27 116.82 May29 / May29 97.91
Mar28 / Mar28 105.13    
*Values calculated basis 6:10 PM.

 

White sugar began the day positively though was still struggling to find a way through $480.00 and the immediate chart resistance. This led to another frustrating morning of price consolidation edging along predominantly in the upper $470’s, save for a small spike lower which was gathered back immediately. Early afternoon then saw prices have a wobble and daily lows were posted at $471.30, but here too the market found support and began a gradual but steady recovery back through the range. Having moved to marginal new recent highs the price then finally made kits move through $481.40 and did so in impressive fashion with a sharp rally to $489.70 before pausing. This placed the Oct/Oct’26 white premium briefly out to $148.00, though the gains tempered soon after as No.11 made some additional ground through their more substantial resistance. Consolidation followed in the mid $480’s to maintain the positive dynamic as the end of the day approached, establishing a settlement level at $486.90 to leave Oct’26 at its highest level in over a year.

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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