ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Jul26 14.54 -0.27 14.79 14.82 14.38 14.56 91,729 457,079 20.72 13.34
Oct26 15.02 -0.28 15.28 15.30 14.86 15.05 40,442 211,823 20.67 13.70
Mar27 15.86 -0.29 16.15 16.15 15.70 15.88 18,649 159,683 19.14 14.42
May27 15.65 -0.31 15.94 15.95 15.51 15.66 4,936 47,649 17.99 14.29
Jul27 15.64 -0.31 15.94 15.95 15.51 15.65 4,114 40,617 17.76 14.27
Oct27 15.89 -0.29 16.15 16.17 15.77 15.89 1,889 18,692 17.64 14.45
Mar28 16.51 -0.28 16.71 16.71 16.38 16.50 559 12,239 17.83 14.97
May28 16.22 -0.28 16.40 16.42 16.12 16.12 175 5,552 17.53 14.82
Jul28 16.15 -0.28 16.34 16.34 16.24 16.24 10 5,870 17.06 14.74
Oct28 16.35 -0.27 16.54 16.55 16.36 16.36 5 3,776 16.97 15.01
Mar29 16.86 -0.27 16.96 16.96 16.96 16.96 1 144 16.96 16.35
Total 162,509 963,124
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Jul26 / Oct26 -0.48 May27 / Jul27 0.01
Jul26 / Mar27 -1.32 May27 / Oct27 -0.24
Jul26 / May27 -1.11 Jul27 / Oct27 -0.25
Jul26 / Jul27 -1.10 Jul27 / Mar28 -0.87
Oct26 / Mar27 -0.84 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.62
Oct26 / May27 -0.63 Oct27 / May28 -0.33
Mar27 / May27 0.21 Mar28 / May28 0.29
Mar27 / Jul27 0.22 Mar28 / Jul28 0.36

It was an uninspiring start to the day as the market failed to shake off yesterday’s weakness, with limited early buying merely holding prices within proximity of unchanged and never taking the market higher than 14.82. As this interest faded so prices began to track back a little further, though losses were only growing very slowly and the price remained away from yesterdays 14.45 low. The US morning got underway with Jul’26 still sitting in the upper 14.50’s, but the pace of activity quickly changed and with it came the spec pressure needed to test and break 14.45 with selling across a couple of waves extending this current reversal to 14.38. Thie weakness was coming despite a mixed macro that saw crude values continuing near to $100 per barrel and weakening equities, but it seemed that the current sharp movement had scarred the specs and for now at least they are reinstating shorts. There was some short covering by smaller traders which helped the spot back up to 14.58 during the later stages, with the price remaining in the 14.50’s on the call. Settlement arrived at 14.54, with Jul/Oct’26 showing little change at -0.48 points. 

ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Aug26 431.90 -5.30 436.60 441.40 426.80 431.20 12,322 64,729 519.20 392.30
Oct26 431.00 -6.10 436.20 440.30 427.00 430.70 6,888 29,312 514.40 391.10
Dec26 434.70 -6.60 439.50 443.70 431.40 434.50 3,798 13,930 514.40 393.20
Mar27 440.40 -6.60 446.40 448.80 437.50 440.20 1,705 13,604 511.80 398.00
May27 443.10 -6.30 448.80 449.80 440.30 443.20 772 3,044 495.00 401.40
Aug27 443.90 -6.60 449.20 449.20 444.00 444.60 158 2,820 491.50 404.30
Oct27 445.70 -6.80 447.80 447.80 446.40 446.40 24 1,364 491.00 408.20
Dec27 450.00 -17.20 466.10 466.70 453.50 457.00 140 915 492.80 414.30
Mar28 455.50 -16.80 471.20 471.20 459.40 459.40 32 587 480.50 421.00
May28 457.40 -15.70 471.90 472.00 460.70 460.80 96 576 482.40 426.30
Aug28 457.40 -13.40 473.60 473.60 473.30 473.30 2 147 481.30 431.10
Oct28 458.40 16.10 441.70 441.70 441.70 441.70 1 9 443.50 441.70
Dec28 460.70
Mar29 463.70
Total 25,938 131,037
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Aug26 / Oct26 0.90 Oct26 / Dec26 -3.70
Aug26 / Dec26 -2.80 Dec26 / Mar27 -5.70
Aug26 / Mar27 -8.50 Mar27 / May27 -2.70
Aug26 / May27 -11.20 May27 / Aug27 -0.80

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
Jul26 / Aug26 111.35 Mar28 / Mar28 91.52
Oct26 / Oct26 99.87 May28 / May28 99.81
Mar27 / Mar27 90.75 Jul28 / Aug28 101.35
May27 / May27 98.08 Oct28 / Oct28 97.94
Jul27 / Aug27 99.10 Mar29 / Mar29 92.00
Oct27 / Oct27 95.39
*Values calculated basis 6:10 PM.

Early trading saw some buying interest against overnight physicals activity, and this took Aug’26 ahead to $441.40 before turning back to overnight levels once the buying had concluded. The market remained quiet through to mid-morning, however the impact of yesterdays drop was still being felt and as spec interest returned it was again from the shot side to send prices lower once again. There was more scale buying being encountered than had been the case yesterday, but that merely controlled the pace of the decline and ensured that Aug-26 remained above $430.00 into the afternoon. This level did break however as pressure increased in conjunction with the No.11 and the heavier spec volume, with lows eventually seen at $426.80. There were a fair few shorts covered over the next hour and the price rose to $434.00 as a result, however this could not be maintained into the close and Aug’26 came to a settlement of $431.90. White premiums saw interesting movements through the day with volume proving quite thin at times, trading both sides of last nights level before ending the day a touch higher at $111.30.

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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