ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Jul26 14.69 0.15 14.58 14.75 14.46 14.69 61,029 448,831 20.72 13.34
Oct26 15.16 0.14 15.04 15.22 14.92 15.15 28,182 214,566 20.67 13.70
Mar27 15.99 0.13 15.86 16.04 15.75 15.98 11,925 160,368 19.14 14.42
May27 15.76 0.11 15.65 15.81 15.54 15.75 3,487 48,318 17.99 14.29
Jul27 15.73 0.09 15.67 15.79 15.54 15.71 2,566 40,699 17.76 14.27
Oct27 15.97 0.08 15.91 16.02 15.79 15.97 1,047 18,920 17.64 14.45
Mar28 16.57 0.06 16.56 16.62 16.42 16.58 205 12,141 17.83 14.97
May28 16.27 0.05 16.19 16.31 16.13 16.26 120 5,590 17.53 14.82
Jul28 16.20 0.05 16.06 16.06 16.06 16.06 1 5,850 17.06 14.74
Oct28 16.39 -0.23 16.54 16.55 16.36 16.36 5 3,797 16.97 15.01
Mar29 16.91 -0.22 16.96 16.96 16.96 16.96 1 134 16.96 16.35
Total 108,568 959,214
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Jul26 / Oct26 -0.47 May27 / Jul27 0.03
Jul26 / Mar27 -1.30 May27 / Oct27 -0.21
Jul26 / May27 -1.07 Jul27 / Oct27 -0.24
Jul26 / Jul27 -1.04 Jul27 / Mar28 -0.84
Oct26 / Mar27 -0.83 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.60
Oct26 / May27 -0.60 Oct27 / May28 -0.30
Mar27 / May27 0.23 Mar28 / May28 0.30
Mar27 / Jul27 0.26 Mar28 / Jul28 0.37

In contrast to recent days there was a very calm environment seen for the market this morning with trading soon settling down into a narrow trading band. Across the whole morning Jul’26 existed within a 14.51 / 14.65 range with all sectors proving quiet and showing no inclination to take on fresh risk, and even when the start of the Americas day drew in some light selling the impact was limited with Jul’26 only extending a small way down to 14.46. It appeared that the market would remain in this area to end the week however a short covering move met with so little selling that prices quickly accelerated through to new daily highs, and in turn this drew some light spec buying through the later stages. Highs were recorded at 14.75 before the picture levelled out through the final hour, and with the macro influence having again subsided Ju’26 moved quietly towards a close at 14.69 that completes an inside day and allows opportunity to reassess the situation before approaching next week.

ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Aug26 432.00 0.10 432.50 433.70 427.30 431.90 8,414 62,420 519.20 392.30
Oct26 432.30 1.30 432.60 433.60 427.40 432.00 4,124 29,364 514.40 391.10
Dec26 436.00 1.30 436.20 437.30 430.80 435.60 3,228 14,349 514.40 393.20
Mar27 442.00 1.60 441.80 443.30 437.10 442.00 1,876 13,487 511.80 398.00
May27 444.60 1.50 443.60 445.90 439.80 444.90 272 2,858 495.00 401.40
Aug27 445.50 1.60 444.50 444.70 442.40 443.90 82 2,907 491.50 404.30
Oct27 447.40 1.70 446.50 446.80 446.50 446.80 10 1,374 491.00 408.20
Dec27 451.70 -15.50 466.10 466.70 453.50 457.00 140 915 492.80 414.30
Mar28 457.20 -15.10 471.20 471.20 459.40 459.40 32 587 480.50 421.00
May28 459.10 -14.00 471.90 472.00 460.70 460.80 96 576 482.40 426.30
Aug28 459.10 -11.70 473.60 473.60 473.30 473.30 2 147 481.30 431.10
Oct28 460.10 17.80 441.70 441.70 441.70 441.70 1 9 443.50 441.70
Dec28 462.40
Mar29 465.40
Total 18,277 128,993
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Aug26 / Oct26 -0.30 Oct26 / Dec26 -3.70
Aug26 / Dec26 -4.00 Dec26 / Mar27 -6.00
Aug26 / Mar27 -10.00 Mar27 / May27 -2.60
Aug26 / May27 -12.60 May27 / Aug27 -0.90

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
Jul26 / Aug26 108.14 Mar28 / Mar28 91.89
Oct26 / Oct26 98.08 May28 / May28 100.41
Mar27 / Mar27 89.48 Jul28 / Aug28 101.95
May27 / May27 97.15 Oct28 / Oct28 98.76
Jul27 / Aug27 98.71 Mar29 / Mar29 92.60
Oct27 / Oct27 95.32
*Values calculated basis 6:12 PM.

There was mixed activity during the first part of the session that saw Aug’26 trading either side of last nights $431.90 value, and as the morning developed this pattern became somewhat entrenched. For many it was a welcome relief to the recent uncertainty which has made trading both difficult and opportunistic, and represented some end of week fatigue as traders stood aside from taking additional risk. This may explain why we were well into the afternoon before any fresh ground was broken as some fresh spec selling pressured Aug’26 down to $427.30, though the push lacked substance and the move faded before the price reached yesterdays lows. Short covering quickly followed and in the thin conditions allowed for the price to climb back to the morning highs by the final hours, though again this reflected the market situation rather than a sign of real activity. Alongside this we were seeing more losses for white premiums as their recent trend continued with Aug/Jul’26 slipping back towards $108.00 during the afternoon. The price recovery into mild positive ground petered out on the call, with Aug’26 posting a token $0.10 gain as it settled at $432.00, while Aug/Oct’26 slipped back to a -$0.30 discount and Aug/Jul’26 settled at $108.10.

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Market chart asset

 

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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