ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Oct26 18.10 0.03 ▲ 18.17 18.45 17.89 18.08 131,218 415,014 20.67 13.70
Mar27 19.09 0.04 ▲ 19.10 19.39 18.87 19.08 116,879 429,217 19.71 14.42
May27 18.51 0.07 ▲ 18.51 18.73 18.28 18.51 29,065 177,064 18.99 14.29
Jul27 18.16 0.10 ▲ 18.10 18.32 17.93 18.15 17,375 113,208 18.48 14.27
Oct27 18.19 0.11 ▲ 18.10 18.30 17.96 18.20 7,648 65,794 18.39 14.45
Mar28 18.53 0.12 ▲ 18.45 18.60 18.30 18.53 2,893 38,807 18.61 14.97
May28 17.81 0.09 ▲ 17.77 17.85 17.62 17.84 1,026 12,970 17.85 14.82
Jul28 17.41 0.06 ▲ 17.42 17.47 17.25 17.39 615 12,202 17.47 14.74
Oct28 17.42 0.06 ▲ 17.44 17.49 17.36 17.40 248 9,747 17.49 15.01
Mar29 17.78 0.21 ▲ 17.61 17.62 17.61 17.62 22 1,640 17.68 16.20
May29 17.25 0.22 ▲ 17.05 17.05 17.05 17.05 1 318 17.28 16.02
Jul29 17.02 0.22 ▲ 16.80 16.80 16.80 16.80 1 732 17.13 16.23
Total               306,991 1,276,713    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Oct26 / Mar27 -0.99 Jul27 / Oct27 -0.03
Oct26 / May27 -0.41 Jul27 / Mar28 -0.37
Oct26 / Jul27 -0.06 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.34
Oct26 / Oct27 -0.09 Oct27 / May28 0.38
Mar27 / May27 0.58 Mar28 / May28 0.72
Mar27 / Jul27 0.93 Mar28 / Jul28 1.12
May27 / Jul27 0.35 May28 / Jul28 0.40
May27 / Oct27 0.32 May28 / Oct28 0.39

 

The market found supportive buying from the word go and climbed back ahead to 18.40 during the first 20 minutes but then began to stall once faced with a little more scale selling. Funds have proved to have a more reduced appetite for buying over recent sessions as highlighted by a more modest increase in their net long to 132,496 lots across the most recent reporting period, and though another push to 18.45 followed the buying faded away without challenging into last weeks highs. Instead, long liquidation followed from the day traders and the price moved back to be trading beneath opening levels later in the morning and continuing down to 17.91 before looking to repeat Friday’s action and consolidate the 18.00 area. With the index roll now underway it was left to the spread to provide most of the afternoon volumes, pushing Oct’26/March’27 back to -1.03 points on the relentless volume which eventually reached around 90,000 lots. Oct’26 meanwhile continued either side of 18.00, but aside from a marginal new daily low at 17.89 provided nothing noteworthy. The price edged up away from 18.00 later in the afternoon to a settlement level at 18.10, bring down the curtain on an uneventful day. 

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Oct26 518.80 -7.20 ▼ 529.70 533.70 517.40 518.50 13,921 30,638 566.80 391.10
Dec26 523.80 0.10 ▲ 528.00 532.50 521.60 523.10 18,870 71,265 554.70 393.20
Mar27 529.80 2.10 ▲ 532.40 535.90 525.60 529.50 8,539 43,693 550.60 398.00
May27 530.70 2.20 ▲ 532.30 535.30 526.00 530.70 2,601 18,332 545.00 401.40
Aug27 524.90 1.00 ▲ 526.80 528.70 520.70 525.00 645 8,455 532.40 404.30
Oct27 518.70 0.30 ▲ 520.20 521.10 515.00 519.60 348 4,460 523.50 408.20
Dec27 515.90 0.30 ▲ 517.00 517.10 512.00 517.00 193 2,198 519.80 414.30
Mar28 515.30 0.90 ▲ 512.40 513.10 512.20 513.10 14 871 517.90 421.00
May28 511.10 1.90 ▲ 508.70 508.70 508.70 508.70 14 689 511.20 426.30
Aug28 503.70 3.20 ▲ 499.60 499.60 499.60 499.60 8 610 499.60 431.10
Oct28 497.80 3.40 ▲ 494.20 494.20 494.20 494.20 1 20 494.20 441.70
Dec28 496.30 3.30 ▲ 493.50 493.50 493.50 493.50 1 6 493.50 468.60
Mar29 493.40 1.40 ▲ 495.40 495.40 495.40 495.40 1 1 495.40 483.20
May29 493.50 1.00 ▲ 496.20 496.20 496.20 496.20 1 2 496.20 483.90
Total               45,157 181,240    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Oct26 / Dec26 -5.00 Dec26 / Mar27 -6.00
Oct26 / Mar27 -11.00 Mar27 / May27 -0.90
Oct26 / May27 -11.90 May27 / Aug27 5.80
Oct26 / Aug27 -6.10 Aug27 / Oct27 6.20

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
Oct26 / Oct26 119.76 May28 / May28 118.46
Mar27 / Mar27 108.94 Jul28 / Aug28 119.88
May27 / May27 122.62 Oct28 / Oct28 113.76
Jul27 / Aug27 124.54 Mar29 / Mar29 101.42
Oct27 / Oct27 117.68 May29 / May29 113.20
Mar28 / Mar28 106.78    
*Values calculated basis 6:13 PM.

 

Dec’26 was immediately more buoyant than it had been yesterday and moved through $530.00 on the call, and following a brief pullback proceeded to move further ahead to $532.50 soon afterwards. Buying looked to be primarily spec driven and with no continuation interest from other sectors the market slumped to the mid-$520’s later in the morning, which provided a more negative slant and discouraged the specs from adding to their efforts. A stalemate then ensued as we moved into the afternoon and across several slow hours the price was confined to a narrow $521.60 / $525.60 band, occasional pricing interest from both sides having no impact upon direction. The only movement was emerging from the Oct/Dec’26 spread where another solid day of pre-expiry rolling volume sent the value back from $2.90 to -$4.50, in turn placing the spot at a defecit while the rest of the board held near to overnight levels. There was no change to the pattern through the later stages and Dec’26 reached the close at $523.80, leaving parameters unmoved.

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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