Raw Sugar Update

The session began with modest upward traction, with short-term technical buying lifting the contract above 17.20c/lb during the 10:00–11:00 window. However, the momentum was short-lived. Once the peak of 17.24c/lb was reached, trade volumes began to thin and values slipped steadily lower. The midday and early afternoon saw N5 drifting sideways to lower, with resistance forming just below 17.20 and support around the 17.08 area repeatedly tested. A brief recovery effort was noted post-15:30, driven likely by opportunistic dip buyers and algorithmic support, though it failed to gather significant follow-through. Into the final hour of trading, the market retraced back toward its opening levels, closing at 17.05c/lb. 

Raw Sugar No.11 (SB) – ICE Futures US Softs
Month Open High Low Sett Chg Last Vol O/I
Jul’25 17.03 17.24 17.00 17.05 0.05 17.10 56,633 340,952
Oct’25 17.23 17.41 17.19 17.23 0.04 17.27 29,692 195,007
Mar’26 17.70 17.88 17.67 17.69 0.02 17.73 12,039 135,814
May’26 17.20 17.39 17.18 17.20 0.01 17.24 6,057 61,947
Jul’26 17.03 17.21 17.01 17.03            –   17.07 6,230 45,776
Oct’26 17.17 17.35 17.14 17.16 -0.02 17.20 2,076 33,186
Mar’27 17.57 17.73 17.54 17.54 -0.03 17.55 1,021 17,291
May’27 17.34 17.37 17.20 17.19 -0.07 17.20 688 8,182
Jul’27 17.24 17.26 17.09 17.07 -0.10 17.09 459 9,899
Oct’27 17.40 17.40 17.20 17.20 -0.12 17.20 278 6,302
Mar’28 17.71 17.71 17.68 17.54 -0.14 17.68 68 747
                 
Total             115,241 855,103

 

White Sugar Update

The session began with steady upward pressure, as early buying activity pushed the market through multiple minor resistance levels. This culminated in a session high of $480.00 reached shortly after 10:30, where a ceiling of resting offers capped further progress. The rally appeared technically driven, supported by a firmer tone in No.11, though follow-through remained limited. By midday, trade flows became more mixed, and Q5 lost some traction. Sellers re-entered on possible profit-taking and intraday positioning, dragging the price back below $478.00. A brief period of consolidation followed, marked by thin volumes and choppy direction as the contract hovered within a tight band. The evening brought a second wave of attempted buying as the flat price attempted to reclaim morning highs but again stalled below $479. Late selling into the final 30 minutes softened the tone, dragging values back toward the lower end of the day’s range. However, the last 10 minutes brought back some buying with the session concluding at $476.10 – up $1.40 on the day but well off the highs.

White Sugar No.5 (QW) – ICE Futures Europe Commodities
Month Open High Low Sett Chg Last Vol O/I
Aug’25 474.70 480.00 474.00 476.10 2.50 477.70 6,215 51,514
Oct’25 470.70 476.00 470.60 473.00 2.30 474.20 2,496 22,942
Dec’25 473.10 477.00 471.90 474.30 2.40 474.90 899 11,016
Mar’26 478.20 481.60 477.00 478.70 2.10 479.90 355 8,860
May’26 477.40 480.50 477.40 478.50 1.80 478.70 116 4,180
Aug’26 479.30 480.60 477.00 477.80 1.00 477.90 96 2,203
Oct’26 479.40 480.80 476.50 477.20 0.50 476.80 99 1,124
Dec’26 482.50 483.20 478.40 479.00            –   478.40 50 1,007
Mar’27          –              –              –   482.40 -0.50 482.50 1 362
May’27          –              –              –   484.00 -0.50 483.70            –   220
Aug’27          –              –              –   483.80 -0.30 483.30            –   41
Oct’27          –              –              –   483.90 -0.20 483.30            –   80
Dec’27          –              –              –   482.70 -0.20            –                 –  
Mar’28          –              –              –   482.00 -0.20            –                 –  
Total             10,327 103,549

Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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