• Iran has increased its sugar import program this year due to a reduction in production.
  • 2018/19 raws imports already total 926k tonnes, way above last season’s 230k tonnes.
  • With production unlikely to rebound straight away it seems likely a significant import program will be needed next season.

Increasing Imports  

  • At last! Some good news for raw sugar demand.
  • Raws imports into Iran have increased at least four-fold this season.
  • We have seen imports so far this season increase from 230k tonnes last season to 926k tonnes.

Iranian Raws Imports

  • Historically raws imports have exclusively come from Brazil, however this season, with sanctions in place, the Iranian government agreed a sugar for oil trade
    with India.
  • This has allowed for 500k tonnes of Indian raw sugar to enter the country and could continue into 19/20.

Needed due to Production Decrease  

  • The drastic increase in raws imports this season have been needed due to a fall in production y-o-y after years of production increases and reduced imports.
  • Iran’s yearly consumption is close to 2.5m tonnes and imports are needed to bridge the gap between production levels and consumption.
  • This season we have seen a large fall in production due to poor rains in the province of Khuzestan (where most the beet and cane is grown).
  • We saw production drop by over 40%, from close to 2m tonnes to 1.12m tonnes.

Iranian Sugar Production

  • We have already seen the effect of this reduced crop this season with the increased imports.
  • However, production is unlikely to be able to rebound immediately to last years highs, a significant import program is therefore likely in the 19/20 season also.
  • This is because growth of ratoon cane is likely to have been stunted by the dryness.