Sugar Futures and Market Data: 21st February 2022

New York No.11 (Raw Sugar)

  • Raw sugar prices have barely changed over the last week, trading between 18 and 18.5 c/lb.
  • There’s been no meaningful change to the spec short position, which had been growing in recent weeks in following the No.11 weakening.
  • This has seen the net spec position settle at around 44k lots, the lowest in roughly two years.
  • With consumers adding good cover in recent weeks, the upcoming H’22 expiry now sees commercial positions close out or roll ahead of the expiry.
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London No.5 (White Sugar)

  • After a fall as the H’22 contract expired last week, white sugar prices have stabilised just above 480 USD/mt.
  • The open interest for the K’22 and Q’22 contracts remains below historic levels.
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White Premium (Arbitrage)

  • Despite the No.11 trading sideways, and a slide in the No.5 with the H’22 expiry, the white premium remains between 90-100 USD/mt
  • This means with cash values or discounted raws spreads, re-export refiners can operate profitably.
  • For a more detailed view of the Sugar Futures and Market Data, please refer to the data appendix below.

No.11 (Raw Sugar) Appendix

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No.5 (White Sugar) Appendix

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White Premium Appendix

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Other Insights That May Be of Interest…

Negative Sentiment Grows as Specs Add to Short

Sugar Statshot: Surplus Grows with India’s Strong Cane Crop

Sugar Statshot: Behind the Data

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Jay Kindred

Jay joined Czarnikow full time in 2021 following a one year internship in 2019. As an intern he focused on the development of tools and dashboards to advance effective communication of data throughout the business and to clients. Jay is currently responsible for analysis of the European sugar sector, alongside contributing premium reports for Czapp and presenting our current market view to clients. He holds a bachelor’s degree in economics from the University of Bath.

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