Raw Sugar Update

The fickle nature of the current market was again underlined as we opened lower and failed to build in any way upon yesterday’s gains. Despite a small effort to pull back the initial losses the market soon started to track back down through the range and only found some element of support in the low 17.40’s. From here the now familiar sideways pattern returned and through the next few hours the market tracked quietly sideways with no sign of any interest to move values either way. By 2pm bigger selling volumes led market to trade at daily low (17.32). From that time until the end of the session, prices were caged in the 17.35- 17.50 range. Market settled at 17.40, 30 pts below yesterday`s settlement, reversing most of the gains of last session. Volume traded was 45k lots and spreads weakened all over the board, with N5/V5 settling at -0.20.

Raw Sugar No.11 (SB) – ICE Futures US Softs
Month Open High Low Sett Chg Last Vol O/I
Jul’25 17.64 17.70 17.32 17.40 -0.30 17.38 46,694 329,754
Oct’25 17.84 17.86 17.50 17.60 -0.26 17.57 26,251 172,638
Mar’26 18.20 18.25 17.92 18.03 -0.22 18.00 14,517 126,295
May’26 17.55 17.60 17.31 17.43 -0.18 17.41 9,501 62,149
Jul’26 17.30 17.35 17.09 17.17 -0.19 17.15 8,475 42,453
Oct’26 17.37 17.39 17.17 17.26 -0.17 17.24 2,823 33,144
Mar’27 17.73 17.73 17.56 17.64 -0.15 17.61 1,034 16,352
May’27 17.36 17.36 17.23 17.30 -0.12 17.30 534 7,874
Jul’27 17.22 17.22 17.10 17.17 -0.10 17.17 333 10,029
Oct’27 17.36 17.36 17.22 17.28 -0.09 17.25 128 6,259
Mar’28          –              –              –   17.63 -0.08 17.75 8 630
                 
Total             110,298 807,577

White Sugar Update

Higher opening prints were fleeting and with the market failing to garner any of the buying interest from yesterday we soon started to slide back down through the range and continue the rangebound zig-zag. With very little buying to be found Aug’25 moved quickly to the $490.00 area and made morning lows at $488.70 with the Aug/Jul’25 white premium value slipping back to $104.50 as a consequence. Sideways trading was observed until 4pm when additional selling came to market and led Aug’25 to trade at its daily low of $486.6. Settlement price was $488.1, $9.6 below yesterday’s settlement, volume traded was 7k lots. Aug/Jul’25 premium settled at $104.24.

White Sugar No.5 (QW) – ICE Futures Europe Commodities
Month Open High Low Sett Chg Last Vol O/I
Aug’25 498.00 498.70 486.60 488.10 -9.60 487.40 8,278 49,924
Oct’25 492.60 493.00 482.80 483.90 -8.90 483.40 2,355 19,420
Dec’25 490.50 490.70 481.70 483.60 -7.40 483.00 887 10,137
Mar’26 492.10 492.10 485.00 486.60 -6.00 486.00 300 8,187
May’26 489.70 489.70 482.00 484.90 -5.20 484.10 126 3,790
Aug’26 479.80 483.40 479.80 482.50 -4.90 481.70 50 2,058
Oct’26 478.40 481.30 478.40 480.80 -4.80 480.80 27 1,083
Dec’26 479.50 481.20 479.50 481.60 -4.90 481.20 16 974
Mar’27 484.10 484.10 484.10 484.60 -5.10 484.10 1 359
May’27          –              –              –   485.30 -5.30 490.00            –   220
Aug’27          –              –              –   485.70 -5.30            –   12
Oct’27          –              –              –   485.80 -5.30            –   60
Dec’27          –              –              –   484.60 -5.30            –                –  
Mar’28          –              –              –   483.90 -5.30            –                –  
Total             12,040 96,224

Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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