Raw Sugar Prices

Opening lower and then punching down to 17.23 set Jul’25 off on a negative footing, thought once this initial push was over trading settled down with values settling down to a narrow band either side of 17.30. Volume dropped and so another tedious session developed, showing no movement ahead of the US morning as funds sat content on their existing short positions showing no desire to add to these and test downside support. Into the afternoon there was a small nudge down to 17.21 but it felt half hearted and disappointingly it was not long before some light short covering returned the market back to 17.30. There was no further movement through the rest of the day, reflected in a settlement price at 17.29 when the close finally arrived. Spreads also saw only light interest with Jul/Oct’25 ending the week at 0.20 points. With No.11 closed on Monday traders can enjoy a 3-day weekend, though whether it is long enough to re-enthuse themselves for when we resume on Tuesday is another matter with the current level of selling not appearing sizable enough to yet trouble this month 16.97 low. 

Raw Sugar No.11 (SB) – ICE Futures US Softs
Month Open High Low Sett Chg Last Vol O/I
Jul’25 17.30 17.38 17.21 17.29 -0.11 17.31 40,252 330,084
Oct’25 17.55 17.58 17.40 17.49 -0.11 17.51 19,503 174,611
Mar’26 17.97 18.02 17.85 17.93 -0.10 17.94 12,438 129,005
May’26 17.41 17.41 17.26 17.35 -0.08 17.36 9,631 62,902
Jul’26 17.14 17.17 17.02 17.13 -0.04 17.13 7,174 40,871
Oct’26 17.22 17.28 17.12 17.24 -0.02 17.25 3,485 32,371
Mar’27 17.60 17.66 17.50 17.62 -0.02 17.63 716 16,302
May’27 17.24 17.31 17.18 17.28 -0.02 17.30 521 7,984
Jul’27 17.12 17.20 17.08 17.15 -0.02 17.17 360 10,029
Oct’27 17.24 17.30 17.20 17.26 -0.02 17.28 190 6,278
Mar’28 17.62 17.63 17.60 17.59 -0.04 17.60 68 636
                 
Total             94,338 811,073

White Sugar Prices

Having fallen back to the lower end of the current range yesterday we started the day with sellers driving the narrative and quickly pushing through a reasonable amount of scale buying to end Aug’25 down through $484.00. This placed the market at its lowest levels since early February however there was not the continuation selling from specs that might have been anticipated and instead the market looked to level out and hold the lower/mid $480’s. With a long weekend approaching there seemed to be even less interest from traders to take positions than has been the case over recent days, and this low volume meant that another long and boring day developed. Marginal new lows were registered at $482.70 however the dull pattern continued relentlessly right the way to the close. White premiums were again weaker with Aug/Jul’25 ending the week at $102.40 while Aug/Oct’25 moved back towards its recent lows and closed at $3.40. Aug’25 settled at $483.60, bringing a welcome conclusion to the day, and leaving questions as to potential continued downside exploration when we resume on Tuesday. 

White Sugar No.5 (QW) – ICE Futures Europe Commodities
Month Open High Low Sett Chg Last Vol O/I
Aug’25 486.50 486.60 482.70 483.60 -4.50 484.10 7,242 49,584
Oct’25 482.60 482.60 479.70 480.20 -3.70 480.70 2,968 19,656
Dec’25 482.10 482.30 479.70 480.00 -3.60 480.60 1,503 10,225
Mar’26 485.20 485.20 483.00 483.70 -2.90 484.40 330 8,285
May’26 482.30 484.30 481.30 482.80 -2.10 484.30 214 3,739
Aug’26 480.20 482.80 480.00 481.20 -1.30 482.70 177 2,069
Oct’26 481.60 481.60 481.60 480.10 -0.70 481.60 9 1,087
Dec’26          –              –              –   481.10 -0.50 481.20 5 989
Mar’27          –              –              –   483.90 -0.70 484.10            –   360
May’27          –              –              –   484.00 -1.30 490.00            –   220
Aug’27          –              –              –   483.90 -1.80            –   12
Oct’27          –              –              –   483.50 -2.30            –   60
Dec’27          –              –              –   482.30 -2.30            –                –  
Mar’28          –              –              –   481.60 -2.30            –                –  
Total             12,448 96,286

Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

More from this author