Opening lower and then punching down to 17.23 set Jul’25 off on a negative footing, thought once this initial push was over trading settled down with values settling down to a narrow band either side of 17.30. Volume dropped and so another tedious session developed, showing no movement ahead of the US morning as funds sat content on their existing short positions showing no desire to add to these and test downside support. Into the afternoon there was a small nudge down to 17.21 but it felt half hearted and disappointingly it was not long before some light short covering returned the market back to 17.30. There was no further movement through the rest of the day, reflected in a settlement price at 17.29 when the close finally arrived. Spreads also saw only light interest with Jul/Oct’25 ending the week at 0.20 points. With No.11 closed on Monday traders can enjoy a 3-day weekend, though whether it is long enough to re-enthuse themselves for when we resume on Tuesday is another matter with the current level of selling not appearing sizable enough to yet trouble this month 16.97 low.
Raw Sugar No.11 (SB) – ICE Futures US Softs
Month
Open
High
Low
Sett
Chg
Last
Vol
O/I
Jul’25
17.30
17.38
17.21
17.29
-0.11
17.31
40,252
330,084
Oct’25
17.55
17.58
17.40
17.49
-0.11
17.51
19,503
174,611
Mar’26
17.97
18.02
17.85
17.93
-0.10
17.94
12,438
129,005
May’26
17.41
17.41
17.26
17.35
-0.08
17.36
9,631
62,902
Jul’26
17.14
17.17
17.02
17.13
-0.04
17.13
7,174
40,871
Oct’26
17.22
17.28
17.12
17.24
-0.02
17.25
3,485
32,371
Mar’27
17.60
17.66
17.50
17.62
-0.02
17.63
716
16,302
May’27
17.24
17.31
17.18
17.28
-0.02
17.30
521
7,984
Jul’27
17.12
17.20
17.08
17.15
-0.02
17.17
360
10,029
Oct’27
17.24
17.30
17.20
17.26
-0.02
17.28
190
6,278
Mar’28
17.62
17.63
17.60
17.59
-0.04
17.60
68
636
Total
94,338
811,073
White Sugar Prices
Having fallen back to the lower end of the current range yesterday we started the day with sellers driving the narrative and quickly pushing through a reasonable amount of scale buying to end Aug’25 down through $484.00. This placed the market at its lowest levels since early February however there was not the continuation selling from specs that might have been anticipated and instead the market looked to level out and hold the lower/mid $480’s. With a long weekend approaching there seemed to be even less interest from traders to take positions than has been the case over recent days, and this low volume meant that another long and boring day developed. Marginal new lows were registered at $482.70 however the dull pattern continued relentlessly right the way to the close. White premiums were again weaker with Aug/Jul’25 ending the week at $102.40 while Aug/Oct’25 moved back towards its recent lows and closed at $3.40. Aug’25 settled at $483.60, bringing a welcome conclusion to the day, and leaving questions as to potential continued downside exploration when we resume on Tuesday.
White Sugar No.5 (QW) – ICE Futures Europe Commodities
Month
Open
High
Low
Sett
Chg
Last
Vol
O/I
Aug’25
486.50
486.60
482.70
483.60
-4.50
484.10
7,242
49,584
Oct’25
482.60
482.60
479.70
480.20
-3.70
480.70
2,968
19,656
Dec’25
482.10
482.30
479.70
480.00
-3.60
480.60
1,503
10,225
Mar’26
485.20
485.20
483.00
483.70
-2.90
484.40
330
8,285
May’26
482.30
484.30
481.30
482.80
-2.10
484.30
214
3,739
Aug’26
480.20
482.80
480.00
481.20
-1.30
482.70
177
2,069
Oct’26
481.60
481.60
481.60
480.10
-0.70
481.60
9
1,087
Dec’26
–
–
–
481.10
-0.50
481.20
5
989
Mar’27
–
–
–
483.90
-0.70
484.10
–
360
May’27
–
–
–
484.00
-1.30
490.00
–
220
Aug’27
–
–
–
483.90
-1.80
–
–
12
Oct’27
–
–
–
483.50
-2.30
–
–
60
Dec’27
–
–
–
482.30
-2.30
–
–
–
Mar’28
–
–
–
481.60
-2.30
–
–
–
Total
12,448
96,286
Jon Whybrow
Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.
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