ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Mar27 18.41 0.19 ▲ 18.26 18.54 18.16 18.40 59,672 545,655 21.29 14.42
May27 17.91 0.19 ▲ 17.75 18.01 17.66 17.90 33,373 217,928 20.40 14.29
Jul27 17.56 0.18 ▲ 17.41 17.65 17.32 17.54 18,492 145,689 19.81 14.27
Oct27 17.56 0.16 ▲ 17.42 17.65 17.35 17.55 9,431 97,083 19.63 14.45
Mar28 17.91 0.12 ▲ 17.81 18.01 17.73 17.91 2,375 59,922 19.83 14.97
May28 16.89 0.08 ▲ 16.83 16.99 16.76 16.87 1,236 26,600 18.77 14.82
Jul28 16.37 0.04 ▲ 16.34 16.45 16.30 16.36 732 20,054 18.10 14.74
Oct28 16.32 0.00   16.33 16.39 16.25 16.31 635 17,392 17.91 15.01
Mar29 16.75 -0.02 ▼ 16.78 16.84 16.69 16.74 455 7,101 18.19 16.20
May29 16.39 -0.03 ▼ 16.42 16.47 16.33 16.38 426 2,996 17.74 16.02
Jul29 16.20 -0.05 ▼ 16.14 16.23 16.14 16.23 99 4,249 17.50 16.14
Oct29 16.26 -0.05 ▼ 16.22 16.22 16.22 16.22 1 73 16.30 16.22
Total               126,927 1,144,742    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Mar27 / May27 0.50 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.35
Mar27 / Jul27 0.85 Oct27 / May28 0.67
Mar27 / Oct27 0.85 Mar28 / May28 1.02
Mar27 / Mar28 0.50 Mar28 / Jul28 1.54
May27 / Jul27 0.35 May28 / Jul28 0.52
May27 / Oct27 0.35 May28 / Oct28 0.57
Jul27 / Oct27 0.00 Jul28 / Oct28 0.05
Jul27 / Mar28 -0.35 Jul28 / Mar29 -0.38

 

A mixed opening period saw March’27 trade between 18.32 and 18.16 before swiftly moving back ahead to a new high at 18.36. Volumes were low but it was clear that smaller traders are remaining fickle and responding to each market movement / failure in quick time. Activity then settled into the range for a couple of hours, but the buy side was receiving the small trader interest today and ahead of noon the market looked to break upwards again. It was by no means dynamic but continue ahead we did, climbing steadily into the afternoon to reach 18.54 but stalling shy of this week’s highest mark of 18.57. Profit taking followed and sent the price back to 18.39 but there was no fall back to the lows and instead we simply maintained the upper part of the range through to the close. Action centred around the lower 18.40’s during the later stages, leading to a settlement of 18.41 which leaves the picture appropriately unchanged at the end of a quiet week.  

 

ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Dec26 514.40 4.50 ▲ 511.60 516.00 510.00 516.00 591 5,386 567.70 393.20
Mar27 521.00 6.20 ▲ 515.90 523.10 514.50 520.90 9,251 70,983 577.40 398.00
May27 522.00 5.70 ▲ 517.50 524.30 516.10 521.60 5,313 31,832 581.80 401.40
Aug27 516.90 4.50 ▲ 513.00 519.10 512.00 516.60 2,386 18,507 574.30 404.30
Oct27 511.30 3.60 ▲ 508.50 513.60 508.10 511.50 833 9,262 565.30 408.20
Dec27 507.80 3.10 ▲ 505.80 509.40 505.60 508.30 163 4,295 558.20 414.30
Mar28 506.80 2.80 ▲ 507.60 508.30 505.80 507.00 39 983 552.60 421.00
May28 499.50 3.90 ▲ 497.50 502.50 497.50 501.50 32 890 542.80 426.30
Aug28 489.80 2.40 ▲ 491.00 494.20 491.00 493.30 34 628 529.90 431.10
Oct28 482.80 2.20 ▲ 486.00 489.60 484.70 489.60 26 105 520.00 441.70
Dec28 482.30 3.70 ▲ 489.30 490.10 488.00 488.00 22 35 518.10 468.60
Mar29 483.70 -30.10 ▼ 517.10 517.10 517.10 517.10 1 8 517.10 483.20
May29 481.00 3.30 ▲ 474.20 475.60 474.20 475.60 3 7 517.50 473.60
Aug29 478.10 —   — — — — — — — —
Total               18,694 142,921    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Dec26 / Mar27 -6.60 Mar27 / May27 -1.00
Dec26 / May27 -7.60 May27 / Aug27 5.10
Dec26 / Aug27 -2.50 Aug27 / Oct27 5.60
Dec26 / Oct27 3.10 Oct27 / Dec27 3.50

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
Mar27 / Mar27 115.13 Jul28 / Aug28 128.90
May27 / May27 127.15 Oct28 / Oct28 123.01
Jul27 / Aug27 129.77 Mar29 / Mar29 114.43
Oct27 / Oct27 124.17 May29 / May29 119.66
Mar28 / Mar28 111.95 Jul29 / Aug29 120.95
May28 / May28 127.14    
*Values calculated basis 6:20 PM.

 

A steady opening saw the market move from overnight levels to reach $518.90, though with the buyers having limit volume we soon set back to sit within the early band. A sideways pattern endured through a slow morning until some fresh buying kicked in ahead of noon and brought the market to new highs. It was very much a slow and steady effort as the gains grew into the afternoon, extending to a high at $523.10 with a couple of hours remaining. Despite this gain, volumes were poor throughout as both the flat price and spreads saw limited interest, a factor of both the range in which we find ourselves alongside the arrival of the Dec’26 expiry. Through the last two hours the market remained steady but did not make additional gain, moving to a close at $521.00 as March’27 assumes its place at the top of the board.

Dec’26 reached expiry and went out at $514.40 while Dec’26/March’27 remained at a modest discount, valued at -$6.60. Early talk is for a tender of 4,898 lots (244,900 mt) with full details of origins and ports to be published by the exchange on Monday.  

 

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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