ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
May26 13.75 -0.17 13.98 14.06 13.71 13.76 152,786 223,808 21.01 13.34
Jul26 13.89 -0.22 14.14 14.22 13.84 13.91 176,570 294,079 20.72 13.34
Oct26 14.29 -0.24 14.56 14.61 14.24 14.30 46,429 166,111 20.67 13.70
Mar27 15.03 -0.24 15.27 15.35 15.00 15.06 20,220 132,062 19.14 14.42
May27 14.87 -0.23 15.16 15.18 14.84 14.90 6,298 38,572 17.99 14.29
Jul27 14.91 -0.22 15.17 15.20 14.88 14.95 4,298 27,947 17.76 14.27
Oct27 15.21 -0.22 15.41 15.50 15.20 15.25 2,051 15,302 17.64 14.45
Mar28 15.85 -0.22 16.02 16.02 15.84 15.90 781 8,552 17.83 14.97
May28 15.67 -0.23 15.85 15.85 15.67 15.72 571 4,535 17.53 14.82
Jul28 15.64 -0.24 15.82 15.82 15.64 15.70 490 4,930 17.06 14.74
Oct28 15.88 -0.24 16.06 16.06 16.00 16.00 22 2,942 16.97 15.01
Mar29 16.38  
Total               410,516 918,840    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
May26 / Jul26 -0.14 Mar27 / May27 0.16
May26 / Oct26 -0.54 Mar27 / Jul27 0.12
May26 / Mar27 -1.28 May27 / Jul27 -0.04
May26 / May27 -1.12 May27 / Oct27 -0.34
Jul26 / Oct26 -0.40 Jul27 / Oct27 -0.30
Jul26 / Mar27 -1.14 Jul27 / Mar28 -0.94
Oct26 / Mar27 -0.74 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.64
Oct26 / May27 -0.58 Oct27 / May28 -0.46

 

The market was being called higher this morning and May’26 printed to 14.02 initially before falling back to overnight levels soon afterwards. Much of the enthusiasm was based upon the lower levels drawing out fresh physical movement and the renewed opportunity to price nearby prompts at a 13c handle, but while there was another enthusiastic push to 14.06 soon afterwards the movement ended once the necessary cover had been taken with specs showing no inclination to oppose the momentum that has built over the last couple of weeks. A gradual but steady decline then developed during the late morning which maintained through much of the afternoon, pushing prices down to yet more fresh lows for the current move at 13.80, with the only occasion respite found as day traders covered back short positions. Another round of covering saw the price briefly back into the 13.90’s ahead of the final hour, but having pressured the market all week there was inevitable a final flourish from specs as they looked to maintain chart pressure into the weekend. May’26 recorded lows at 13.71 ahead of the call and while MOC position squaring left settlement at 13.75 their efforts were certainly a success from a technical standpoint. May/Jul’26 was firmer throughout the session as Jul’26 took the brunt of fresh selling, and on a substantial 117,000 lots volume it ended the day at -0.14 points. 

 
ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
May26 412.30 -1.30 414.10 421.20 411.10 412.10 11,040 21,002 533.20 394.70
Aug26 413.80 -2.70 417.10 423.90 412.80 413.70 18,481 55,652 519.20 392.30
Oct26 415.90 -3.00 419.60 425.50 415.20 416.10 4,782 24,894 514.40 391.10
Dec26 419.10 -2.70 422.40 427.80 418.50 419.50 1,387 11,897 514.40 393.20
Mar27 425.10 -2.60 427.70 428.50 424.40 425.50 567 10,988 511.80 398.00
May27 426.60 -1.90 428.50 429.50 425.70 427.10 158 3,019 495.00 401.40
Aug27 427.20 -0.80 428.00 428.90 427.10 428.30 38 2,470 491.50 404.30
Oct27 429.40 -14.60 438.70 441.40 438.70 441.10 20 1,134 491.00 408.20
Dec27 434.20 -22.00 451.00 451.00 449.70 450.40 11 711 492.80 414.30
Mar28 440.20 -21.50 456.70 456.70 455.40 456.10 9 536 480.50 421.00
May28 443.80 -20.20 459.50 459.90 459.10 459.90 5 431 482.40 426.30
Aug28 446.40 -30.70 481.30 481.30 479.30 479.30 13 147 481.30 431.10
Oct28 448.40 6.10 441.70 441.70 441.70 441.70 1 9 443.50 441.70
Dec28 450.70  
Total               36,512 132,890    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
May26 / Aug26 -1.50 Aug26 / Oct26 -2.10
May26 / Oct26 -3.60 Oct26 / Dec26 -3.20
May26 / Dec26 -6.80 Dec26 / Mar27 -6.00
May26 / Mar27 -12.80 Mar27 / May27 -1.50

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
May26 / May26 109.16 Oct27 / Oct27 94.08
Jul26 / Aug26 107.58 Mar28 / Mar28 90.77
Oct26 / Oct26 100.86 May28 / May28 98.34
Mar27 / Mar27 93.75 Jul28 / Aug28 101.60
May27 / May27 98.77 Oct28 / Oct28 98.31
Jul27 / Aug27 98.49    
*Values calculated basis 6:16 PM.

 

Aug’26 started the day either side of overnight levels on moderate interest, however the lower levels did not last for long as interest from consumers / end users pushed prices into the positive. There was a brief spike higher to $423.90, though generally the price was holding in the upper teens/$420 area as volume calmed, the static nature of the macro allowing specs the opportunity to take stock and assess the picture. By noon, the gain was eroding and the market returned into deficit soon after as selling once again arrived, with any reassessment of the situation clearly ending with a decision to follow the technical weakness and maintain pressure. More scale buying was filled in as the price slipped through the teens over the following hours to a low at $412.80, before finding some respite from the pressure as smaller traders trimmed exposure ahead of the weekend. Nearby white premiums had been in the ascendancy this morning as May/May’26 pushed nudged $111 and Aug/Jul’26 $110, but through the afternoon these gains mostly eroded with Aug/Jul’26 returning to sit at $107 ahead of the final hour. Despite falling back late in the day there was no fresh ground broken as Aug’26 settled at $413.80, while May/Aug’26 produced a stronger volume with some decent size changing hands as it closed at -$1.50. Aug/Jul’26 remained in credit for the day and went out valued at $107.60.

 

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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