ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Mar27 18.56 0.09 ▲ 18.51 18.87 18.35 18.60 78,377 602,854 21.29 14.42
May27 18.01 0.10 ▲ 17.95 18.28 17.80 18.02 36,431 198,461 20.40 14.29
Jul27 17.63 0.09 ▲ 17.58 17.88 17.44 17.64 25,190 149,787 19.81 14.27
Oct27 17.60 0.07 ▲ 17.57 17.83 17.43 17.60 13,054 96,647 19.63 14.45
Mar28 17.94 0.04 ▲ 17.94 18.17 17.83 17.93 5,124 58,318 19.83 14.97
May28 16.94 0.02 ▲ 16.91 17.11 16.88 16.93 1,917 25,803 18.77 14.82
Jul28 16.44 -0.01 ▼ 16.44 16.58 16.42 16.43 1,904 19,514 18.10 14.74
Oct28 16.40 -0.02 ▼ 16.43 16.52 16.37 16.38 1,642 16,935 17.91 15.01
Mar29 16.81 -0.03 ▼ 16.91 16.91 16.78 16.78 961 6,960 18.19 16.20
May29 16.41 -0.04 ▼ 16.43 16.49 16.37 16.40 885 2,053 17.74 16.02
Jul29 16.20 -0.04 ▼ 16.22 16.28 16.15 16.16 204 3,876 17.50 16.15
Oct29 16.25 0.09 ▲ 16.27 16.30 16.25 16.30 82 50 16.30 16.25
Total               165,771 1,181,258    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Mar27 / May27 0.55 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.34
Mar27 / Jul27 0.93 Oct27 / May28 0.66
Mar27 / Oct27 0.96 Mar28 / May28 1.00
Mar27 / Mar28 0.62 Mar28 / Jul28 1.50
May27 / Jul27 0.38 May28 / Jul28 0.50
May27 / Oct27 0.41 May28 / Oct28 0.54
Jul27 / Oct27 0.03 Jul28 / Oct28 0.04
Jul27 / Mar28 -0.31 Jul28 / Mar29 -0.37

 

The market slipped back a little during early trading, though found support continuing in the mid 18.30’s from scale buyers to ensure that no new lows for the current decline were recorded. Activity remained slow and mixed through the morning with a revisit to the lows against small trader movements and another slow and uneventful session appeared likely. A little more interest developed during the early afternoon which prompted a few specs to add some weight to the buy side, and having broken to fresh daily ground this carried the market back up at a decent pace to reach the 18.70’s. Another push followed soon afterwards, and highs were recorded at 18.88, however by this stage some light pricing was starting to arrive on the short side which in turn discouraged longs from additional buying. Despite holding the upper levels for a couple of hours we eventually saw smaller traders kicking long positions back out, reducing the gains and leaving March’27 to the centre of the range as the close arrived. Settlement was made at 18.56 leaving another moderate gain in place though the feeling remains that the market is simply in a consolidation pattern for the near term as longs look to stem the decline. 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Dec26 499.90 2.40 ▲ 499.10 509.80 496.10 501.20 9,225 22,429 567.70 393.20
Mar27 518.20 0.90 ▲ 517.80 526.30 512.70 519.20 17,033 67,207 577.40 398.00
May27 523.10 2.80 ▲ 520.60 530.10 517.70 523.90 6,893 32,336 581.80 401.40
Aug27 518.50 2.10 ▲ 516.60 525.00 514.10 519.00 3,084 17,369 574.30 404.30
Oct27 512.90 1.60 ▲ 511.30 519.40 509.50 513.40 1,086 8,123 565.30 408.20
Dec27 509.10 0.90 ▲ 508.10 515.40 506.30 509.60 406 3,939 558.20 414.30
Mar28 506.80 0.30 ▲ 507.60 510.10 507.10 510.10 48 903 552.60 421.00
May28 498.70 -0.50 ▼ 500.00 502.00 498.10 501.90 16 897 542.80 426.30
Aug28 488.80 -14.10 ▼ 501.30 501.90 500.60 501.50 12 637 529.90 431.10
Oct28 480.40 -39.20 ▼ 520.00 520.00 520.00 520.00 1 76 520.00 441.70
Dec28 477.10 -40.60 ▼ 518.10 518.10 518.10 518.10 1 7 518.10 468.60
Mar29 479.10 -34.70 ▼ 517.10 517.10 517.10 517.10 1 5 517.10 483.20
May29 476.10 -38.00 ▼ 517.50 517.50 517.50 517.50 1 9 517.50 483.90
Aug29 473.10 —   — — — — — — — —
Total               37,807 153,937    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Dec26 / Mar27 -18.30 Mar27 / May27 -4.90
Dec26 / May27 -23.20 May27 / Aug27 4.60
Dec26 / Aug27 -18.60 Aug27 / Oct27 5.60
Dec26 / Oct27 -13.00 Oct27 / Dec27 3.80

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
Mar27 / Mar27 109.02 Jul28 / Aug28 126.36
May27 / May27 126.05 Oct28 / Oct28 118.84
Jul27 / Aug27 129.83 Mar29 / Mar29 108.50
Oct27 / Oct27 124.89 May29 / May29 114.32
Mar28 / Mar28 111.29 Jul29 / Aug29 115.95
May28 / May28 125.24    
*Values calculated basis 6:07 PM.

 

Recent sharp losses have understandably killed confidence amongst longs, and the market was lacking impetus from either side as a slow morning period developed with March’27 contained within a $512.70 / $518.60 band. It was only the arrival of US specs influencing No.11 which drew some fresh buying to markets into the afternoon and this set the market off in search of gains, though on steady progress the $520.00 area proved tough to surpass as we stalled below the daily chart gap. With white premium values having slipped another push followed, and this time we moved with greater pace and moved sufficiently to fill the gap to $524.80 and tidy the chart. Once achieved progress again became trickier, and though efforts continued from specs for a period the price topped at $526.30 and eventually retreated when long liquidation kicked in during the later stages. This left March’27 sitting to the centre of the range at $518.20, while against diminishing roll activity Dec’26/March’27 posted a slightly higher finish at -$18.30.   

 

Market chart asset

 

 

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Market chart asset

 

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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