Raw Sugar Update 

From a marginally lower starting point the market soon came under pressure and within an hour was sitting on the early month 14.57 low. Initially this level held however the weight of selling was proving too much for the scale buyers and while movement was gradual the later morning period saw new ground broken for the month with the price slipping below 14.50. With the next chart support found from the December low at 14.38 buyers were hanging onto whatever inspiration that they could find, and while the decline continued into the afternoon it stalled when some better pricing ahead of this mark limited the low at 14.41. The inevitable short covering that followed swung the market back into the 14.50’s at a reasonable pace and while progress then slowed the price did make it as far as 14.65 before calming ahead of the final hour. Moderate selling pressure in the 14.60 area during the final stages left March’26 settling at 14.57, maintaining the heavy feel that the market currently carries regardless of the afternoon effort to hold it away from the chart point at 14.37. 

Raw Sugar No.11 (SB) – ICE Futures US Softs
Month Open High Low Sett Chg Last Vol O/I
Mar’26 14.65 14.68 14.41 14.57 -0.11 14.59 66,408 417,366
May’26 14.30 14.33 14.07 14.20 -0.15 14.22 29,303 198,651
Jul’26 14.33 14.36 14.10 14.21 -0.17 14.23 16,741 145,986
Oct’26 14.66 14.67 14.41 14.52 -0.17 14.55 7,910 84,668
Mar’27 15.34 15.35 15.11 15.21 -0.16 15.22 4,995 71,533
May’27 15.13 15.14 14.95 15.03 -0.15 15.04 948 21,415
Jul’27 15.06 15.06 14.94 15.01 -0.13 15.00 315 15,367
Oct’27 15.25 15.25 15.15 15.21 -0.12 15.21 136 16,057
Mar’28 15.79 15.79 15.73 15.75 -0.12 15.73 107 5,516
May’28 15.55 15.57 15.55 15.58 -0.12 15.57 64 2,604
Jul’28 15.55 15.55 15.55 15.55 -0.13 15.55 60 3,239
                 
Total             126,987 982,402

White Sugar Update 

On the back of yesterday’s unconvincing showing the market was soon under renewed pressure and slipped into the high teens during the early stages. While there was some light scale buying in place it was having limited effect against the assorted selling heading from the opposite direction and so the decline continued steadily through the next few hours to apply additional chat pressure and bring December’s $415.00 low into focus. Through into early afternoon this area struggled to hold, and some marginally lower forays saw the price fall to $414.60, but there were no stops in place and so when the sellers threw in the towel and took some cover the market was able to move back up to sit around $418.00. The flat price movement was not placing any fresh pressure upon white premium values which had levelled out again following yesterday’s movement as they continue to exist within a $95/$100 band. As trading calmed through the middle of the afternoon there was a gentler gain made to $420.00, though a return to credit proved elusive and the late afternoon saw some slight pressure re-applied. March/May’26 was still seeing some steady roll volume through the day, with a few AA’s for the spot aiding its move to a respectable 13,500 lot volume. Closing values were towards the centre of the range with March’26 at $418.20, better than seemed likely midway through the session but still maintaining a downward bias.    

White Sugar No.5 (QW) – ICE Futures Europe Commodities
Month Open High Low Sett Chg Last Vol O/I
Mar’26 421.20 421.30 414.60 418.20 -2.70 418.60 15,591 79,069
May’26 421.00 421.00 414.20 417.20 -2.70 417.40 6,210 36,704
Aug’26 416.40 416.40 410.50 412.80 -3.60 413.10 2,790 21,299
Oct’26 414.70 414.80 409.40 411.50 -3.70 411.50 916 7,875
Dec’26 416.90 416.90 411.80 413.60 -3.80 413.70 418 3,129
Mar’27 420.50 420.50 415.70 417.00 -3.90 417.10 371 4,367
May’27 420.20 420.30 417.40 418.40 -3.40 420.20 175 1,514
Aug’27 421.30 422.20 419.50 420.10 -2.60 421.40 225 1,229
Oct’27 423.40 424.90 422.60 422.70 -1.90 424.90 170 674
Dec’27 427.80 429.90 427.80 427.30 -1.60 429.90 98 413
Mar’28 433.70 433.80 433.70 433.30 -1.80 433.80 8 272
May’28 437.80 437.80 437.80 437.40 -1.80 437.80 3 146
Aug’28          –              –              –   440.10 -1.80            –                –  
Oct’28          –              –              –   442.00 -1.80            –                –  
Total             26,975 156,691

 

Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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