ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Mar27 20.52 -0.05 ▼ 20.54 20.75 20.40 20.50 51,715 660,079 21.29 14.42
May27 19.87 0.04 ▲ 19.83 20.00 19.70 19.84 27,506 188,461 20.40 14.29
Jul27 19.43 0.06 ▲ 19.37 19.53 19.24 19.41 16,812 152,092 19.81 14.27
Oct27 19.36 0.08 ▲ 19.27 19.42 19.17 19.34 11,467 94,753 19.63 14.45
Mar28 19.68 0.08 ▲ 19.56 19.69 19.49 19.66 6,012 52,365 19.83 14.97
May28 18.61 0.02 ▲ 18.54 18.62 18.48 18.59 2,596 20,927 18.77 14.82
Jul28 17.94 0.00   17.87 17.96 17.81 17.92 1,824 15,332 18.10 14.74
Oct28 17.76 -0.02 ▼ 17.74 17.80 17.64 17.75 909 15,015 17.91 15.01
Mar29 18.04 -0.04 ▼ 17.96 18.02 17.93 18.02 141 4,250 18.19 16.20
May29 17.51 -0.09 ▼ 17.57 17.57 17.57 17.57 171 970 17.74 16.02
Jul29 17.21 -0.13 ▼ 17.50 17.50 17.50 17.50 42 2,184 17.50 16.23
Total               119,195 1,206,428    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Mar27 / May27 0.65 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.32
Mar27 / Jul27 1.09 Oct27 / May28 0.75
Mar27 / Oct27 1.16 Mar28 / May28 1.07
Mar27 / Mar28 0.84 Mar28 / Jul28 1.74
May27 / Jul27 0.44 May28 / Jul28 0.67
May27 / Oct27 0.51 May28 / Oct28 0.85
Jul27 / Oct27 0.07 Jul28 / Oct28 0.18
Jul27 / Mar28 -0.25 Jul28 / Mar29 -0.10

 

Following an opening drop to 20.43 we saw the losses erased to leave trading taking place across familiar ground. The rally extended to 20.75 however the highs were not sustained despite some supportive spec efforts and by late morning March’27 was holding quietly in the lower 20.60’s. The apathy around the market has only built over recent days and into the afternoon there was no spark to be found from either side which left values holding a narrow band, illustrated by another very low volume. Day traders did look to enliven proceedings with a push down to 20.40, but this failed to garner additional interest and when short covering took place a return to the 20.50’s beckoned. This left March’27 tracking along at a small loss through the final couple of hours, though the rest of the 2027 positions were showing single digit gains due to a weakening of the nearby spreads, March/May’27 slipping to 0.65 points on modest selling. There was no defensive buying for todays close following the futile efforts over the last few days, and March’27 drifted to a settlement at 20.52 which leaves chart parameters unchanged for another day. 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Dec26 547.10 0.30 ▲ 547.30 552.80 544.60 546.70 9,407 47,692 567.70 393.20
Mar27 561.20 -1.40 ▼ 563.20 567.40 559.70 560.70 9,618 61,316 577.40 398.00
May27 568.10 -1.40 ▼ 569.90 573.40 566.50 567.80 5,004 32,960 581.80 401.40
Aug27 564.00 -0.50 ▼ 564.60 567.60 561.70 563.70 1,886 13,814 574.30 404.30
Oct27 557.40 -0.40 ▼ 557.90 560.20 554.80 557.20 571 7,015 565.30 408.20
Dec27 552.90 0.30 ▲ 553.00 554.90 550.00 552.90 253 3,646 558.20 414.30
Mar28 550.00 0.80 ▲ 551.10 551.10 551.10 551.10 1 806 552.60 421.00
May28 541.10 0.70 ▲ 542.10 542.10 542.10 542.10 1 816 542.80 426.30
Aug28 529.40 0.20 ▲ 529.90 529.90 529.90 529.90 1 623 529.90 431.10
Oct28 519.60 0.20 ▲ 520.00 520.00 520.00 520.00 1 72 520.00 441.70
Dec28 516.80 -0.90 ▼ 518.10 518.10 518.10 518.10 1 8 518.10 468.60
Mar29 519.40 5.60 ▲ 517.10 517.10 517.10 517.10 1 5 517.10 483.20
May29 519.00 4.90 ▲ 517.50 517.50 517.50 517.50 1 16 517.50 483.90
Aug29 517.90 —   — — — — — — — —
Total               26,746 168,789    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Dec26 / Mar27 -14.10 Mar27 / May27 -6.90
Dec26 / May27 -21.00 May27 / Aug27 4.10
Dec26 / Aug27 -16.90 Aug27 / Oct27 6.60
Dec26 / Oct27 -10.30 Oct27 / Dec27 4.50

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
Mar27 / Mar27 108.81 Jul28 / Aug28 133.89
May27 / May27 130.04 Oct28 / Oct28 128.06
Jul27 / Aug27 135.64 Mar29 / Mar29 121.69
Oct27 / Oct27 130.59 May29 / May29 132.97
Mar28 / Mar28 116.13 Jul29 / Aug29 138.48
May28 / May28 130.82    
*Values calculated basis 6:25 PM.

 

A slow opening provided the base from which the market was able to make some mid-morning gains, and while there was no stand-out buyer Dec’26 was able to climb to $552.80 against mixed activity. Recent days have seen a lack of continuation interest and that was again the case today with the price first easing from the high and then falling back to $547.50 against moderate day trader position liquidation. This seemingly insignificant movement killed any upside enthusiasm and for the next few hours the price edged back to a small defecit against continuing limited interest. A small pop back to $549.50 proved to be brief, and with the flat price so quiet it was only the spreads that ensured volume reached a respectable level. Dec’26/March’27 saw the greatest interest with pre-expiry rolling starting to take place and helping to recover a small amount of ground, while there was also steady activity for March/May’27. The close arrived with Dec’26 showing little change, posting a marginally higher close at $547.10 while 2027 positions showed small losses.  

 

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

 

Market chart asset

 

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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