ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Jul26 14.24 -0.14 14.42 14.64 14.21 14.22 80,264 359,779 20.72 13.34
Oct26 14.75 -0.15 14.92 15.14 14.71 14.71 54,969 268,446 20.67 13.70
Mar27 15.66 -0.13 15.82 16.03 15.62 15.63 19,656 187,397 19.14 14.42
May27 15.50 -0.11 15.71 15.83 15.46 15.46 5,453 53,281 17.99 14.29
Jul27 15.54 -0.10 15.70 15.85 15.50 15.50 7,894 56,732 17.76 14.27
Oct27 15.85 -0.07 15.96 16.11 15.81 15.82 2,109 23,257 17.64 14.45
Mar28 16.51 -0.04 16.60 16.75 16.48 16.48 652 13,238 17.83 14.97
May28 16.25 -0.02 16.31 16.44 16.23 16.26 539 6,631 17.53 14.82
Jul28 16.19 -0.02 16.24 16.36 16.18 16.18 224 6,269 17.06 14.74
Oct28 16.37 -0.03 16.43 16.56 16.36 16.36 185 4,252 16.97 15.01
Mar29 16.90 0.24 16.55 16.55 16.55 16.55 1 147 17.08 16.35
May29 16.80
Total 171,946 979,429
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Jul26 / Oct26 -0.51 May27 / Jul27 -0.04
Jul26 / Mar27 -1.42 May27 / Oct27 -0.35
Jul26 / May27 -1.26 Jul27 / Oct27 -0.31
Jul26 / Jul27 -1.30 Jul27 / Mar28 -0.97
Oct26 / Mar27 -0.91 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.66
Oct26 / May27 -0.75 Oct27 / May28 -0.40
Mar27 / May27 0.16 Mar28 / May28 0.26
Mar27 / Jul27 0.12 Mar28 / Jul28 0.32

The swings within the wider range continue with the market making an immediate move up through 14.50 on the opening and then building further to reach 14.64 within the first hour. Progress then stalled though prices remained solid for a period until some position liquidation late in the morning saw gains start to erase and send the price back down to opening levels. This by no means disheartened the day traders and moving through the afternoon they continued to try and bring the market back upwards but were unable to reach the morning highs as assorted grower pricing in the nearby two prompts capped the upside. Inevitably there was another reversal to follow against more position liquidation and this time the fall extended to new daily lows with Jul’26 at 14.29 before looking to hold. While the flat price flits around at familiar levels we were seeing the largest volumes against the Jul/Oct’26 spread, its value nudging either side of -0.50 points as interest ratchets up ahead of the index roll commencing this Friday. Trading was calm through the later afternoon though pressure remained, and the range extended a little further during the later stages with new lows recorded at 14.21. Settlement was just above at 14.24, a disappointing ending given the morning promise as we continue broadly sideways. 

ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Aug26 444.80 -1.00 448.20 454.60 443.60 444.70 12,287 59,385 519.20 392.30
Oct26 439.50 -0.50 443.00 448.20 438.60 439.30 7,237 36,358 514.40 391.10
Dec26 438.00 -1.30 443.30 446.50 437.60 438.10 2,696 21,418 514.40 393.20
Mar27 442.50 -1.70 448.50 450.60 442.00 442.00 1,122 17,765 511.80 398.00
May27 444.50 -1.90 450.80 452.40 444.40 444.60 221 4,277 495.00 401.40
Aug27 443.80 -2.10 451.60 451.80 443.60 443.60 97 3,233 491.50 404.30
Oct27 444.20 -2.20 451.90 452.00 444.60 445.40 55 1,623 491.00 408.20
Dec27 447.40 -2.20 455.00 455.00 455.00 455.00 1 1,086 492.80 414.30
Mar28 452.50 2.30 455.20 458.60 455.20 458.60 23 600 480.50 421.00
May28 454.20 2.00 459.00 460.40 459.00 460.40 14 542 482.40 426.30
Aug28 454.00 -5.50 456.30 456.30 456.30 456.30 1 157 481.30 431.10
Oct28 455.00 12.70 441.70 441.70 441.70 441.70 1 9 443.50 441.70
Dec28 457.30
Mar29 460.30
Total 23,755 146,453
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Aug26 / Oct26 5.30 Oct26 / Dec26 1.50
Aug26 / Dec26 6.80 Dec26 / Mar27 -4.50
Aug26 / Mar27 2.30 Mar27 / May27 -2.00
Aug26 / May27 0.30 May27 / Aug27 0.70

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
Jul26 / Aug26 130.86 Mar28 / Mar28 88.52
Oct26 / Oct26 114.32 May28 / May28 95.95
Mar27 / Mar27 97.26 Jul28 / Aug28 97.07
May27 / May27 102.78 Oct28 / Oct28 94.10
Jul27 / Aug27 101.20 Mar29 / Mar29 87.72
Oct27 / Oct27 94.77
*Values calculated basis 6:14 PM.

Reacting to higher prices elsewhere the whites shot up on the opening and Aug’26 saw an initial high at $452.70. This provided the basis to continue probing into the resistance area / congestion ahead of last months $457.70 high, with the gains extending to $454.60 before progress stalled and a consolidation pattern emerged. This was broken a couple of hours later as long liquidation arrived to push the price back beneath $450.00, however the impact was not too significant and the arrival of US specs saw a fresh move towards the morning highs develop though this too was not sustained and befell the same fate as the earlier effort. Through the middle of the afternoon the gains were pared, and while Aug’26 and Oct’26 maintained a small net gain the rest of the board saw values slip beneath last nights values. A combination of white premium and spread support provided the reason for this with Aug/Jul’26 moving back up to sit at $132.50, while spread highs were recorded at $7.00 for Aug/Oct’26 and $2.00 for Oct/Dec’26. Additional pressure was applied through the final 30 minutes which sent nearby prompts into the red and established new daily lows, resulting in an Aug’26 settlement at $444.80 which leaves the overhead resistance some distance away having again scuppered the spec ambitions.

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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