ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
May26 13.92 -0.31 14.25 14.30 13.90 13.95 148,943 266,003 21.01 13.34
Jul26 14.11 -0.36 14.49 14.52 14.10 14.12 146,371 260,533 20.72 13.34
Oct26 14.53 -0.37 14.93 14.96 14.51 14.51 34,649 160,149 20.67 13.70
Mar27 15.27 -0.36 15.66 15.68 15.25 15.26 14,419 132,602 19.14 14.42
May27 15.10 -0.36 15.49 15.51 15.08 15.08 5,414 38,492 17.99 14.29
Jul27 15.13 -0.35 15.50 15.50 15.10 15.11 2,816 27,203 17.76 14.27
Oct27 15.43 -0.33 15.76 15.76 15.41 15.44 1,719 15,438 17.64 14.45
Mar28 16.07 -0.29 16.36 16.36 16.05 16.05 1,186 8,235 17.83 14.97
May28 15.90 -0.26 16.15 16.15 15.88 15.88 1,071 4,691 17.53 14.82
Jul28 15.88 -0.25 16.13 16.13 15.87 15.87 445 4,898 17.06 14.74
Oct28 16.12 -0.64 16.79 16.44 16.40 16.40 12 2,933 16.97 15.01
Mar29 16.63
Total 357,045 921,177
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
May26 / Jul26 -0.19 Mar27 / May27 0.17
May26 / Oct26 -0.61 Mar27 / Jul27 0.14
May26 / Mar27 -1.35 May27 / Jul27 -0.03
May26 / May27 -1.18 May27 / Oct27 -0.33
Jul26 / Oct26 -0.42 Jul27 / Oct27 -0.30
Jul26 / Mar27 -1.16 Jul27 / Mar28 -0.94
Oct26 / Mar27 -0.74 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.64
Oct26 / May27 -0.57 Oct27 / May28 -0.47

It was a muted start to trading with marginally higher opening values maintaining through the early period, and while prices also nudged back into the red we reached the middle of the morning with a mere 12-point range showing for all the front four positions. There was some widening for these bands through the later morning as the market creaked down to 14.08 and its lowest traded level since 6th March, as traders continued to play the short side despite the concerns over the fragility of the Iranian ceasefire and Brent crude values moving closer to $100 once again. May’26 paused in the 14.10 area through noon, but the pressure resumed during the following hours and the price ground its way down through scale buying placed ahead of 14.00 as traders looked to test the psychological support level. Midway through the afternoon this aim was achieved and the price descended into the upper 13.90’s, though scale buying provided continuing support and the price did not move below 13.96. Spreads were again dominating volumes and while the idex spread selling was obvious it was the trade who dictated the direction of movement with May/Jul’26 peaking at -0.17 points later in the day. Pressure remained right the way through into the close with lows recorded at 13.90 and settlement reached just above this mark at 13.92, representing another weak performance.    

ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
May26 413.60 -8.70 423.60 424.50 413.10 413.70 7,291 22,549 533.20 394.70
Aug26 416.50 -9.00 427.00 427.50 416.10 416.80 14,913 54,465 519.20 392.30
Oct26 418.90 -9.10 428.00 429.40 418.50 419.00 4,585 24,875 514.40 391.10
Dec26 421.80 -9.30 431.80 432.10 421.40 422.10 1,443 12,006 514.40 393.20
Mar27 427.70 -9.30 437.40 437.40 427.40 427.80 483 10,842 511.80 398.00
May27 428.50 -8.80 436.60 436.60 427.90 428.60 139 2,988 495.00 401.40
Aug27 428.00 -14.70 437.20 439.90 437.20 439.60 21 2,449 491.50 404.30
Oct27 429.60 -14.40 438.70 441.40 438.70 441.10 20 1,132 491.00 408.20
Dec27 434.30 -21.90 451.00 451.00 449.70 450.40 11 707 492.80 414.30
Mar28 440.30 -21.40 456.70 456.70 455.40 456.10 9 532 480.50 421.00
May28 444.20 -19.80 459.50 459.90 459.10 459.90 5 430 482.40 426.30
Aug28 446.80 -30.30 481.30 481.30 479.30 479.30 13 147 481.30 431.10
Oct28 448.80 6.50 441.70 441.70 441.70 441.70 1 9 443.50 441.70
Dec28 451.10
Total 28,934 133,131
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
May26 / Aug26 -2.90 Aug26 / Oct26 -2.40
May26 / Oct26 -5.30 Oct26 / Dec26 -2.90
May26 / Dec26 -8.20 Dec26 / Mar27 -5.90
May26 / Mar27 -14.10 Mar27 / May27 -0.80

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
May26 / May26 106.72 Oct27 / Oct27 89.43
Jul26 / Aug26 105.43 Mar28 / Mar28 86.02
Oct26 / Oct26 98.57 May28 / May28 93.67
Mar27 / Mar27 91.05 Jul28 / Aug28 96.71
May27 / May27 95.60 Oct28 / Oct28 93.42
Jul27 / Aug27 94.44
*Values calculated basis 6:20 PM.

Recent decline has drawn out some physical activity and this morning’s opening saw prices initially trade slightly higher against hedge lifting before settling down to hold close to overnight levels. By the middle of the morning the market was starting to weaken slightly with Aug’26 edging back to $423.50, and while the price plateaued in this area through into the early afternoon there was no hint of the buying interest needed to turn things around, and the picture still appeared vulnerable. We were into the afternoon before new lows were seen, though when they were it set in motion a steady decline from which there was no escape. Light scales were filled, but buying was not particularly sizable as the price simply eased down into the upper teens to sit just above the $417.00 mark from where we jumped in early March and be more than $50 short of the highs recorded just six sessions prior. May’26 open interest continues to decline and now stands at 22,549 lots, with May/Aug’26 volumes declining further as the spread value continued in the vicinity of -$3.00. White premiums also continued to trade within their same recent band, with Aug/Jul’26 marginally down at $105.40 on limited interest. The final hour saw prices decline further still and daily lows were recorded at $416.10 on the call, sending the market out weakly once more with a settlement level of $416.50.

 

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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