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Insight Focus

Weather-driven demand supports the US cash sugar market. Spot Midwest beet sugar prices firmed, while most forward values remained steady as winter storm disruptions and temperature extremes boosted near-term demand but raised risks to beet quality. Forward buying stayed cautious, with limited 2026-27 interest, better-than-expected January deliveries, and quiet discussions on planting intentions.

Weather Drives Firmness in Cash Sugar Market

The cash sugar market showed signs of strength this week, supported by stronger demand from weather-related events.

Low-side prices for spot Midwest beet sugar were firmer at 42c/lb FOB, up 1c/lb from a week earlier but still 1c/lb lower than the same time last year. Other spot and calendar 2026 prices for beet sugar and cane sugar were steady. Values for 2026-27 were still developing, though one processor confirmed offers for Midwest beet sugar at 43c–45c/lb FOB.

The price range for 2026-27 cane sugar in the Gulf and Southeast narrowed to 48c–49c/lb FOB, down from the previous 48c–50c/lb. Forward values for 2026-27 Pacific beet sugar, Pacific cane sugar and Northeast cane sugar remained unquoted. 

The recent winter storm Fern, which brought snow and ice to large sections of the country a few weeks ago, spurred an uptick in spot demand as users scrambled to source supplies after deliveries were cancelled due to disrupted logistics and plant closures.

Weather remained a factor in the US sugar market as a jet stream split the country down the middle, creating two divergent halves. Frigid temperatures persisted in the eastern half, helping to protect sugar beet piles stored outdoors, while temperatures in the western half jumped well above average, with some states such as Montana, Wyoming and Colorado experiencing averages between 40 and 60 degrees.

Outdoor sugar beet piles at these temperatures may start to rot if cold air does not soon return to refreeze them. The situation might lead to an overall reduction in sugar content levels. 

Harvested sugar beets in a pile

Forward Buying Remains Muted

While the uptick in demand was mostly relegated to the spot market, some sellers said buyers were asking about 2026-27 prices. A few users had booked small volumes for the forward period, but many remained firmly fixed on the sidelines as the market continued to assess price direction.

Some sellers believed buyers were waiting for the International Sweetener Colloquium, scheduled for February 22–24, before finalising purchasing decisions. It was not expected that a significant number of sales would occur at the event later this month, as the outlook for demand continued to shift. The expectation was that users would likely be more cautious when booking contracts for next year.

Deliveries for January were better than expected for some processors. One supplier said the year-to-date pace was up about 1% compared with the same period a year earlier.

Discussions around planting intentions for the 2026 crop were quiet. The anticipation was that growers may either reduce planted acres and/or pull back on crop maintenance by using less fertiliser.

The corn sweetener market was mostly routine, with refiners focused on producing and shipping products.