ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Oct26 15.12 0.01 15.06 15.20 14.89 15.15 54,809 504,398 20.67 13.70
Mar27 16.09 0.02 16.05 16.17 15.85 16.10 22,444 273,994 19.14 14.42
May27 15.90 0.03 15.83 15.97 15.68 15.92 7,125 69,395 17.99 14.29
Jul27 15.89 0.03 15.84 15.95 15.68 15.91 3,972 74,732 17.76 14.27
Oct27 16.17 0.04 16.11 16.23 15.96 16.19 1,980 34,966 17.64 14.45
Mar28 16.84 0.04 16.78 16.88 16.63 16.83 689 17,206 17.83 14.97
May28 16.53 0.03 16.48 16.57 16.34 16.52 318 7,970 17.53 14.82
Jul28 16.44 0.03 16.39 16.49 16.29 16.43 333 8,004 17.06 14.74
Oct28 16.63 0.04 16.48 16.69 16.48 16.62 95 5,632 16.97 15.01
Mar29 17.17 0.06 17.23 17.23 17.23 17.23 9 289 17.23 16.20
May29 16.88 0.73 16.02 16.02 16.02 16.02 1 21 16.02 16.02
Total               91,775 996,607    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Oct26 / Mar27 -0.97 Jul27 / Oct27 -0.28
Oct26 / May27 -0.78 Jul27 / Mar28 -0.95
Oct26 / Jul27 -0.77 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.67
Oct26 / Oct27 -1.05 Oct27 / May28 -0.36
Mar27 / May27 0.19 Mar28 / May28 0.31
Mar27 / Jul27 0.20 Mar28 / Jul28 0.40
May27 / Jul27 0.01 May28 / Jul28 0.09
May27 / Oct27 -0.27 May28 / Oct28 -0.10

 

Having produced a steady performance yesterday the inconsistent nature of intra-day movement was immediately evident this morning with a drop back to 14.91. This adds additional fog to the near-term prospects and the market continued to show uninspiring performance through the morning as the price tracked along in the vicinity of 15.00 before slipping back top a new 14.89 low. No additional loss was incurred as the afternoon saw some mildly supportive interest re-appear, however progress was slow and it took a few hours to return prices to a credit with the depth of interest insufficient to take prices beyond the teens. One final push was made during the last hour, and the price saw a small extension to 15.20, but despite today representing a Brazilian holiday which will have limited the input from growers no additional gain was achieved. Some of the longs were closed ahead of the call to knock values back a touch, though Oct’26 did manage to hold on to the smallest of gains as a settlement was recorded at 15.12.  

 

ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Aug26 478.60 -2.00 478.00 481.90 473.40 478.30 7,835 25,914 519.20 392.30
Oct26 471.60 -0.80 469.10 474.70 465.50 471.40 13,460 78,783 514.40 391.10
Dec26 470.20 -0.50 468.30 473.00 464.00 469.90 4,306 32,790 514.40 393.20
Mar27 470.40 -0.30 467.70 473.00 464.70 469.70 1,488 21,153 511.80 398.00
May27 470.10 -0.70 467.90 472.70 465.30 469.90 327 9,893 495.00 401.40
Aug27 467.10 -0.50 465.30 469.00 463.80 467.80 164 4,893 491.50 404.30
Oct27 465.00 -0.40 463.10 465.20 462.80 464.90 76 2,002 491.00 408.20
Dec27 466.20 -0.20 466.40 466.60 466.30 466.60 10 1,210 492.80 414.30
Mar28 468.90 -0.60 466.90 469.50 466.90 469.50 2 687 480.50 421.00
May28 468.90 -0.80 466.30 466.30 466.30 466.30 1 725 482.40 426.30
Aug28 467.10 4.70 468.70 468.70 468.70 468.70 1 273 481.30 431.10
Oct28 467.10 -0.40 466.80 466.80 466.80 466.80 1 16 466.80 441.70
Dec28 468.90 -0.70 468.60 469.20 468.60 468.60 4 4 469.20 468.60
Mar29 471.90  
Total               27,675 178,343    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Aug26 / Oct26 7.00 Oct26 / Dec26 1.40
Aug26 / Dec26 8.40 Dec26 / Mar27 -0.20
Aug26 / Mar27 8.20 Mar27 / May27 0.30
Aug26 / May27 8.50 May27 / Aug27 3.00

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
Oct26 / Oct26 138.26 Mar28 / Mar28 97.64
Mar27 / Mar27 115.68 May28 / May28 104.48
May27 / May27 119.57 Jul28 / Aug28 104.66
Jul27 / Aug27 116.79 Oct28 / Oct28 100.47
Oct27 / Oct27 108.51 Mar29 / Mar29 93.37
*Values calculated basis 6:15 PM.

 

Oct’26 started the day trading lower in reaction to No.11 movement, and with buying interest having fallen away this week the market struggled to pull itself back up. Oct’26 did move back above $470.00 on a couple of occasions but each time the movement stalled and by late morning it had fallen to a session low at $465.50. Moving into the afternoon the picture remained shaky, but with no more selling coming through a more sustainable recovery was able to build, with the price slowly moving back up to erase the daily loss on low volumes. Smaller traders then moved with the trend and showed some interest in picking at the long side, and their efforts saw the price reached $474.70 in the final hour as most others stood aside. Aug/Oct’26 saw a modest rolling volume which will likely further reduce the Open Interest, now standing at 25,914 lots, but that aside there was only limited interest being shown for spreads. The market returned to the red during late trading as day trader positions were cleaned out, resulting in a lower close for Oct’26 at $471.60.

 

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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