ICE Futures U.S. Sugar No.11 Contract
Settlement (cUS$/lb) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Jul26 13.68 -0.02 13.68 13.90 13.61 13.64 71,048 169,050 20.72 13.34
Oct26 14.19 -0.04 14.21 14.40 14.07 14.16 101,022 453,090 20.67 13.70
Mar27 15.05 -0.04 15.08 15.24 14.93 15.02 30,825 213,895 19.14 14.42
May27 14.85 -0.05 14.89 15.04 14.74 14.83 7,995 63,992 17.99 14.29
Jul27 14.88 -0.06 14.93 15.07 14.78 14.85 5,642 62,384 17.76 14.27
Oct27 15.19 -0.07 15.26 15.40 15.11 15.16 1,841 23,477 17.64 14.45
Mar28 15.88 -0.06 15.93 16.02 15.79 15.85 967 13,571 17.83 14.97
May28 15.64 -0.04 15.64 15.77 15.55 15.62 614 7,072 17.53 14.82
Jul28 15.60 -0.02 15.58 15.73 15.50 15.58 381 6,409 17.06 14.74
Oct28 15.80 -0.01 15.85 15.90 15.78 15.78 94 4,738 16.97 15.01
Mar29 16.35 -0.31 16.55 16.55 16.55 16.55 1 121 17.08 16.35
May29 16.09  
Total               220,430 1,017,799    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE U.S. Sugar No.11 – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Jul26 / Oct26 -0.51 May27 / Jul27 -0.03
Jul26 / Mar27 -1.37 May27 / Oct27 -0.34
Jul26 / May27 -1.17 Jul27 / Oct27 -0.31
Jul26 / Jul27 -1.20 Jul27 / Mar28 -1.00
Oct26 / Mar27 -0.86 Oct27 / Mar28 -0.69
Oct26 / May27 -0.66 Oct27 / May28 -0.45
Mar27 / May27 0.20 Mar28 / May28 0.24
Mar27 / Jul27 0.17 Mar28 / Jul28 0.28

 

From an unchanged start, Jul’26 spent the first couple of hours trading between 13.76 and 13.61, limited movement on which to start the week with volume also rather light. Midway through the morning there was a recovery to sit in the mid 13.70’s, potentially a sign that traders might be happy to hold near to the 13.75 strike heading into this evening Jul’26 option expiry. The calm was broken early in the afternoon as fresh buying pinged the price ahead to 13.90, however with the specs driving the movements and overhead selling placed by growers needing to price ahead of the futures expiry at month end giving resistance at the highs there was an inevitable correction against long liquidation and prices returned to the lower end of the range. A quieter afternoon ensued with Jul’26 in the 13.60’s / 13.70’s, and increasingly it felt as though Jul’26 was waiting for the close and any option related interest while specs limited their activity. Heading towards the final hour the price had fallen back below 13.70, and it remained in this area with a closing value at 13.68 ensuring a straightforward option expiry with no uncertainty over potential exercise or not. 

 
ICE Europe White Sugar Futures Contract
Settlement (US$/mt) Open High Low Last Volume O/I Life High Life Low
Aug26 442.40 -2.20 445.40 445.80 436.50 441.80 12,504 55,885 519.20 392.30
Oct26 434.40 -3.90 437.60 438.70 429.60 433.60 11,882 44,019 514.40 391.10
Dec26 430.80 -4.30 435.50 435.50 426.30 429.80 5,232 22,299 514.40 393.20
Mar27 434.70 -3.90 438.70 438.90 430.20 433.20 3,295 17,857 511.80 398.00
May27 436.80 -3.50 440.60 440.60 432.90 435.70 1,350 5,364 495.00 401.40
Aug27 436.30 -3.20 437.70 439.30 433.30 435.10 280 3,551 491.50 404.30
Oct27 436.40 -2.90 437.70 439.70 433.40 439.70 75 1,690 491.00 408.20
Dec27 439.70 -2.50 440.70 443.10 439.00 443.10 26 1,180 492.80 414.30
Mar28 444.80 -2.10 445.60 448.30 444.00 448.30 29 624 480.50 421.00
May28 447.20 -1.10 447.50 451.00 446.00 451.00 62 582 482.40 426.30
Aug28 448.20 0.00   448.10 448.10 446.60 446.60 81 160 481.30 431.10
Oct28 449.00 6.70 441.70 441.70 441.70 441.70 1 9 443.50 441.70
Dec28 451.10  
Mar29 454.00  
Total               34,817 153,220    
*Volume includes exchange for physicals.

 

 

ICE Europe White Sugar – Spreads
Date Spread Date Spread
Aug26 / Oct26 8.00 Oct26 / Dec26 3.60
Aug26 / Dec26 11.60 Dec26 / Mar27 -3.90
Aug26 / Mar27 7.70 Mar27 / May27 -2.10
Aug26 / May27 5.60 May27 / Aug27 0.50

 

 

White Sugar Premium
Date Premium Date Premium
Jul26 / Aug26 140.81 Mar28 / Mar28 94.71
Oct26 / Oct26 121.56 May28 / May28 102.40
Mar27 / Mar27 102.90 Jul28 / Aug28 104.28
May27 / May27 109.41 Oct28 / Oct28 100.67
Jul27 / Aug27 108.25 Mar29 / Mar29 93.54
Oct27 / Oct27 101.52    
*Values calculated basis 6:15 PM.

 

White sugar plunged in value as the new week got underway, with Aug’26 losing almost $8 as it traded back to $436.50 with less than have an hour of trading having elapsed. Initially the price remained near to the lows, the most significant effort of this being losses of around $6 for the nearby white premium values, though by the middle of the morning the picture was stabilising, and prices were moving away from the lows and reducing losses. Volumes were moderate as some pricing from manufacturers took place alongside spec activities, and with few sellers showing at the lower levels Aug’26 managed to trade to overnight levels ahead of noon. Early afternoon saw some gains showing with highs at $445.80, but by now the smaller traders were loaded on the long side and with no other supportive interest being found there was a sharp covering correction that sent values back through $440.  This cycle repeated through the rest of the afternoon, though on a smaller scale, though all activity was now taking place below Fridays $444.60 close level. Aug/Oct’26 and Oct/Dec’26 both climbed on the day against moderate buying, a factor of the general whites stability which is currently offset by negative factors elsewhere. There were no fresh developments through the final stages with Aug’26 heading out at $442.40, marginally lower to mark a calm start to the week.  

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Jon Whybrow

Jon joined CZ in 1991, working in the Treasury department before moving to join the derivatives team in 1994. Over 30 years Jon has built up significant experience across derivatives markets and products, particularly sugar, and is now Head of Flow derivatives providing market execution services for CZ’s global client base. He is responsible for the market commentaries which are published each day on CZ app.

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